After wowing both critics and audiences, Ridley Scott‘s “The Martian” looks like it will win over Golden Globe voters too. Our awards experts — journalists who cover this beat for major media including Variety, Yahoo, USA Today, and Huffington Post — are predicting that this sci-fi thriller starring Matt Damon as an astronaut stranded on Mars determined to find a way home will win both Best Comedy/Musical Picture and Best Comedy/Musical Actor. (Click on the charts above to see the experts’ rankings and odds in all the Globe film categories.)
Those Globe victories will be perfectly timed, coming just five days before Oscar nominations are announced on Jan. 14. Our current Oscar odds have “The Martian” in 8th place to win Best Picture while Damon is tied for fifth for Best Actor. However, these standings could well change as awards season kicks into high gear.
This 3D epic continues to do boffo business, grossing more than $110 million in its first two weekends. It was boosted into the stratosphere by stellar reviews, scoring a jaw-dropping 94 at Rotten Tomatoes and an impressive 81 at MetaCritic. And if “The Martian” wins those Globes as we predict, it will have history on its side at the Oscars.
In the 64 years that the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. has presented separate awards for dramas and musicals/comedies, 39 of its Best Comedy/Musical Picture winners have contended for Best Picture at the Oscars, including last year’s Globe champ “The Grand Budapest Hotel.” Eight of them won the top Academy Award, with the most recent of these being “The Artist” in 2011.
Likewise, 34 of the Best Comedy/Musical Actor winners have gone on to contend at the Oscars, including Michael Keaton (“Birdman”) last year. Eight of them repeated, with “The Artist” leading man Jean Dujardin being the last of these.
Damon has a long connection with both kudos. He, along with Ben Affleck, won both the Globe and the Oscar in 1997 for the script of “Good Will Hunting.” And he was nominated by both bodies for his acting in that film, losing the Drama Actor race at the Globes to Peter Fonda (“Ulee’s Gold”) while both men were bested at the Oscars by Comedy/Musical Actor Globe champ Jack Nicholson (“As Good As It Gets”).
Damon also contended at both awards for his 2009 supporting role in “Invictus,” losing each race to Christoph Waltz (“Inglorious Basterds”). In addition, he lost his 1999 Globe bid in drama for “The Talented Mr. Ripley” to Denzel Washington (“Hurricane”) and his 2009 bid in comedy/musical for “The Informant!” to Paul Giamatti (“Barney’s Version”).
Make your Golden Globe predictions starting with Best Comedy/Musical Picture to the right or at the bottom of this post and earn a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Globe nominations).
Last year, Gold Derby’s Editors led the way with an accuracy rate of 85% when it came to predicting the Golden Globe film nominations, followed by those Top 24 Users at 84%, the Experts at 82% and all Users with 76%. (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)
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