Battle for Best Musical at Tonys: ‘Fun Home’ vs ‘American in Paris’

The race for Best Musical at the Tony Awards is one of the tightest in years. It could go right down to the wire on Sunday between “An American in Paris” and “Fun Home,” which each reaped a leading 12 bids in all. The top category is rounded out by “Something Rotten” (10 nominations) and five-time contender “The Visit.” 

Our 14 Experts break for “American in Paris” by a score of eight to six. And our seven Editors do likewise, with four favoring this big-budget adaptation of the 1951 Oscar winner for Best Picture. However, 19 of our Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who did the best predicting last year’s Tony winners) as well as two-thirds of all Users are backing the bid by “Fun Home,” the intimate tuner based on cartoonist Alison Bechdel’s autobiography about growing up in small-town Pennsylvania and the effects that coming out had on her family including her closeted gay father. 

When it came to predicting the Tony Awards last year, the Experts tied the Top 24 Users (those users with the best scores predicting the 2013 winners) with an overall accuracy rate of 85%. Even before the nominations were announced last year, the collective opinion of both our Experts and Top 24 Users had foreseen that “Gentlemen’s Guide to Murder” would win Best Musical. Both groups nailed 21 of the other races as well. And our Editors were at 73%. (Click on each group’s name to see their overall results from last year.)

An American in Paris” dominated the Outer Critics Circle Awards, winning four prizes including Best Musical, Best Actor (Robert Fairchild) and two trophies for director/choreographer Christopher Wheedon. And it claimed four awards at the Drama Desk, including another for Fairchild and Wheedon’s dance moves. 

“Fun Home” was ineligible at the OCC and Drama Desk as it had contended at these kudos last year for its acclaimed original off-Broadway run.

Gold Derby Users – just like YOU – turn out to be our smartest prognosticators. So, it’s vital that you give us your predictions. Your picks factor into our Users racetrack odds which are a key component of Gold Derby’s official (combined) odds. Make the best predictions and you could win our contest prize: a $100 Amazon gift certificate and a place of honor in our famous leaderboards. (Be sure to take notice of the finer points of our contest rules HERE.)

In order to win our contest, you must have the highest accuracy at predicting the winners in all 24 categories. But you may need more than that. If more than one user has the best percentage, the tie will be broken by most game points. So, remember to place your three super bets when making predictions. Each user gets one super bet of 500 points and two of 200 points with all the other categories worth 100 points. Strategy is key. Place those super bets wisely and they could crown you our winner.

Get started by making your own predictions for Best Musical using our easy drag-and-drop menu found at the bottom of this post.

You can continue to update and change your predictions until just an hour before the awards begin. Just click “Save Predictions” when you’ve settled on your choice. And remember to place your 500 and 200-point bets wisely. 

To enter your predictions for the other categories, make sure you are logged into your Gold Derby account or register for a free account via Facebook, Twitter or Google.

After logging in, click on the “Predictions” button found at the top-right of every page. That will bring you to a list of every event currently being predicted at Gold Derby.

We are forecasting everything from the winners of the Emmys to number of characters killed on “Game of Thrones.” Click on any box to bring up that event, then scroll down to start making your predictions.

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