Five-time champ "Modern Family" could set an all-time record by winning a sixth time as Best Comedy Series at the Emmys on Sunday, but we are not projecting that to happen. Instead we have the HBO show "Veep" as a 1-1 favorite to win this election. It is the fourth consecutive shot for the poltiical program, which has mostly counted on wins by star Julia Louis-Dreyfus in past years but not the big prize yet.
"Veep" has nine total nominations this year and won the comedy casting award at last weekend's Creative Arts ceremony. In addition to comedy series and Louis-Dreyfus, it also has bids for Tony Hale (supporting actor), Anna Chlumsky, directing, and writing this weekend.
Rookie show "Transparent" is in second place with 13/5 odds. It has 11 nominations this year and won last Saturday for Bradley Whitford (guest actor), costumes, and main title theme music. For the next ceremony, it is nominated for Jeffrey Tambor (actor), Gaby Hoffmann (supporting actress), directing, and writing.
It is somewhat surprising to see "Modern Family" in third place with 11/2 odds since it has never lost the top race before. But for the first time ever, the ABC show fails to have a key nomination in either directing or writing. The only comedy series in the past 40 years to win this category without one of those was "Friends" (2002). The show only has six nominations this year, including Julie Bowen (supporting actress) and Ty Burrell (supporting actor). It also won last weekend for sound mixing.
"Parks and Recreation" returns to this category for the first time since 2011. The NBC program stands in fourth place with 25/1 odds but only has three overall nominations for its final season. Star Amy Poehler is once again nominated for Best Comedy Actress.
The last three spots are held by shows with distant 100/1 odds. Freshman program "Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt" from Netflix has a total of seven nominations, including Tituss Burgess (supporting actor) and Jane Krakowski (supporting actress). Previous nominee "Silicon Valley" for HBO has seven bids this year and won for picture editing and art direction last week. Perennial FX hit "Louie" has six nominations with half of those individually for director, writer, and actor Louis C.K.
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Photo Credit: Patrick Harbron/HBO