The Country Music Association will spread the wealth when the 2016 CMA Awards are handed out tonight, November 2, during a live telecast on ABC hosted by Carrie Underwood and Brad Paisley. Underwood herself will win twice, as will Thomas Rhett and Eric Church. The rest of the field will win one award apiece.
That’s according to our official racetrack odds, which are determined by the predictions of Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s CMA winners, the All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ CMA results, and hundreds of total Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.
Underwood will reclaim her title as Female Vocalist of the Year; she previously won the award three times in a row from 2006 to 2008. Miranda Lambert has dominated the category for the past six years, but it appears her winning streak is about to come to an end. Underwood’s second win will be Musical Event of the Year as the featured artist on Keith Urban‘s “The Fighter.”
Rhett’s two victories will be the first of his career. We expect him to claim both Single of the Year and Song of the Year for his number-one country hit “Die a Happy Man.” Earlier this year the song also won him Single of the Year at the Academy of Country Music Awards.
Church has won twice before at the CMAs, including Album of the Year for “Chief” in 2012. He’s predicted to win that award again for “Mr. Misunderstood,” and he’ll add to that a victory for Music Video of the Year (“Record Year”).
Ironically, Luke Bryan is tipped to win the top award, Entertainer of the Year, for the third year in a row, but he won’t win anything else. In fact, he has never won any CMA category besides Entertainer of the Year. This year his only other bid is Musical Event of the Year (“Home Alone Tonight” with Karen Fairchild).
Chris Stapleton was the story of the 2015 CMAs, unexpectedly sweeping New Artist, Male Vocalist and Album of the Year (“Traveller”). He comes into these awards with five nominations, including Entertainer of the Year, but this time we think he’ll have to settle for just another Male Vocalist victory. However, we underestimated him once before, so perhaps he’ll exceed our expectations again.
Rounding out the winners will be Florida Georgia Line (Vocal Duo of the Year), Little Big Town (Vocal Group of the Year) and Maren Morris (New Artist of the Year). Do you agree with our picks? Check out our predictions by artist below.
Album of the Year (“Mr. Misunderstood”)
Music Video of the Year (“Record Year”)
Single of the Year (“Die a Happy Man”)
Song of the Year (“Die a Happy Man”)
Female Vocalist of the Year
Musical Event of the Year (“The Fighter,” with Keith Urban)
Entertainer of the Year
FLORIDA GEORGIA LINE
Vocal Duo of the Year
LITTLE BIG TOWN
Vocal Group of the Year
New Artist of the Year
Male Vocalist of the Year
Musical Event of the Year (“The Fighter,” with Carrie Underwood)
Weigh in now with your CMA predictions so that Nashville insiders can see how she’s faring in our racetrack odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before winners are announced on November 2 at 5:00 pm PT/8:00 pm ET. Be sure to read our contest rules. And join in the fierce debate over this fall’s music awards taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.