“It’s tricky because we have nothing to go off of,” I tell fellow Gold Derby contributors Charles Bright and Amanda Spears in our slugfest (watch above) about what television programs might win Critics’ Choice Awards this Sunday. “There are three parts to that,” I continue. “First is that the nominations are decided by a committee, so not necessarily [representative of] the entire membership [that votes for the winners]. Second is that a quarter of their membership from last year is gone, so we can’t look at past years. Then third is that normally, we could look at the critics’ Top 10 lists [for guidance], but all the people who left are the actual critics.”
Nonetheless, the three of us spend 45 minutes debating our predictions in all 24 television categories. If there’s one thing upon which we all agree, it’s that “The People v. O.J. Simpson” will sweep like it did at the Emmy Awards in September — and is predicted to at the Golden Globes in January — by winning all four of its races: Best Movie/Limited Series, Actor (Courtney B. Vance over co-star Cuba Gooding Jr.), Actress (Sarah Paulson) and Supporting Actor (Sterling K. Brown over co-star John Travolta).
Amanda adds, “It makes me weary thinking how many awards FX is going to win, so we might see a few upsets in maybe some of the other categories, since we know they probably have the limited series side on lockdown.” Indeed, the network is a strong contender in both the comedy and animated fields as well, thanks to “Atlanta” and “Archer” respectively.
Other races in which we reach a consensus are Drama Actor (Rami Malek, “Mr. Robot”), Drama Supporting Actress (Thandie Newton, “Westworld”), Drama Guest Performer (Ellen Burstyn, “House of Cards”), Comedy Actress (Kate McKinnon, “Saturday Night Live”), Movie/Limited Supporting Actress (Regina King, “American Crime”) and Animated Series (“BoJack Horseman”).
With this being the second year that the Critics’ Choice Awards for both film and television are being presented in a single ceremony instead of months apart, Amanda is wary of buzz for film performances influencing television races. “I will never, this year, underestimate Viola Davis because it would not surprise me if they threw every award at her imaginable,” she explains, alluding to Davis’s nominations for both film (Supporting Actress, “Fences”) and television (Drama Actress, “How to Get Away with Murder”). Mahershala Ali is also recognized this year for movies (Supporting Actor, “Moonlight”) and TV (Drama Guest Performer, “House of Cards”).
Film and television nominations for the 72nd Golden Globe Awards will be announced on December 12 at 5 am PT/8 am ET, so be sure make your predictions before it is too late. Do you think that Oscar voters will be swayed by the results of 22nd Critics’ Choice Awards? Log your Oscar predictions too and change them as often as you please until nominations are announced on January 24, 2017.