“Dancing With the Stars” fans just like you are predicting season 22 of the celebrity dance competition, whose third episode, “Most Memorable Year,” airs tonight (April 4). You can keep making your predictions right up until the minute the live show starts at 8:00 p.m. ET; 5:00 p.m. PT. And as of this writing, it looks like actress Mischa Barton will be the next eliminated. (Click here for our complete predictions.)
The panel of judges — Carrie Ann Inaba, Len Goodman and Bruno Tonioli — tried to give Barton encouraging words after their harsh criticisms of her week-one tango took a toll on her self-esteem, but they actually scored her even lower for her “Latin Night” cha cha (15, down from 16), leaving her at the bottom of the leaderboard. (Geraldo Rivera actually scored lower, but he was eliminated.)
With four points separating Barton from the next lowest scorers — NFL player Antonio Brown and actress Kim Fields, both with 19 — our readers are giving Barton leading 2/5 odds of elimination, which translates to a whopping 71% chance that she’ll go home as of this writing. Will viewer votes save her from the chopping block? Quite often on “DWTS” last-place scores will galvanize a celeb’s fan base to vote in earnest. However, that didn’t help Rivera last week. And after struggling for two weeks Barton is expected to land at the bottom again, getting 4/9 odds (68% chance) of posting the low score.
Even though Brown and Fields had the next lowest scores last week, they’re not next in line for possible elimination according to our users. Instead, actress Marla Maples ranks second according to our predictions, even though she landed in the middle of the pack with 20 points from the judges, putting her in a four-way tie for fifth place; despite her solid performance, our readers give her 15/2 odds (12% chance of elimination). Next up is football legend Doug Flutie (22/1 odds, 4% chance of elimination), who also scored 20 points.
Despite their lower scores, Fields and Brown are relatively safe according to our readers. Fields gets 66/1 odds (1% chance of elimination), while Brown gets 100/1 odds (0% chance of elimination). Should they breathe a sigh of relief, or could we be overestimating their viewer support?
As for who will win the Mirror Ball Trophy at the end of the season, model Nyle DiMarco is still at the top of our predictions despite getting mixed reviews from the judges last week. He gets 5/4 odds (45% chance of winning), which is down from last week when he had 8/11 odds (58% chance of winning). Still ranked second is UFC fighter Paige VanZant, who got a big boost after tying for the top judges’ score last week. She now gets 4/1 odds and a 20% chance to win (up from 9/1 odds, 10% chance).
The other top scorer on “Latin Night” has also climbed up our predictions chart: Boyz II Men singer Wanya Morris now ranks third with 9/2 odds (18% chance of winning). Compare that to last week when he was in seventh place with 50/1 odds (2% chance). And at the start of the competition he was 11th with 100/1 odds (0% chance). If he tops the judges’ leaderboard for the third time in a row tonight, will it finally be time to declare him the season 22 frontrunner?
Click on the chart below for more details predictions stats:
Though DiMarco is the current favorite to win it all, he’s not the star we’re predicting to get the highest score this week. Instead, VanZant is forecast to come out on top. She gets 11/8 odds (42% chance of the high score), followed by Morris (7/2 odds, 22% chance) and DiMarco (9/2 odds, 19% chance).
But if you’d like even more input before finalizing your own predictions for tonight, you might consider the users who scored 100% predicting last week’s results. Of those, Jason Nolette had the highest points total due to his savvy betting. This week Nolette agrees with the consensus that Barton will get the low score and be eliminated, but he disagrees about the top scorer: he’s betting on Morris instead of VanZant, and he’s also betting on Morris to win the Mirror Ball Trophy.
Nolette topped last week’s predictions, but after two weeks of competition three other readers are on top of our overall predictions leaderboard with 88% accuracy (seven out of eight correct): Tommy, Jeredshaffer and Kyle Bailey. So who are they predicting?
Of those three, Tommy has the highest points total, so it may be especially wise to heed his predictions, and he’s going out on a limb tonight: he says Flutie will get the low score and that Maples will be going home, but he’s going with the consensus picking VanZant to win the night.
Kyle Bailey also thinks Maples is going home, but he’s betting on DiMarco to get the top score and Barton to land at the bottom again.
Jeredshaffer differs from both of them, picking the frontrunners straight down the line: VanZant for the high score and Barton for the low score and elimination.
Since our top users have such different predictions this week, it’s likely there will be a shakeup in our contest after we find out tonight’s results.
So when making your own predictions, will it prove wise to back the favorites, or should you go out on a limb to forecast a surprise?
In our “Dancing with the Stars” predictions center, you get to answer the following questions before each episode airs on ABC every Monday at 5 p.m. PT / 8 p.m. ET.:
Who will win ‘Dancing with the Stars’?
Which star will be eliminated?
Who will receive the judges’ HIGHEST score?
Who will receive the judges’ LOWEST score?
How many 10s will the judges give out?
At the end of each week, the eligible user with the highest prediction accuracy and most points will be the leaderboard champ for the week, so it’s beneficial to keep coming back often and making/updating your predictions.
Remember that coming out on top doesn’t just mean answering that week’s questions correctly. You also have to use your three big bets (500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a longshot who pulls off an upset, you can really rack up the points, so don’t take them for granted.
Who do you think is going to be eliminated? Making your “DWTS” predictions is fun and easy. Just log into your Gold Derby account (or you can register for a free account via Facebook) and then start casting your votes to the right or at the bottom of this post.
Gold Derby readers just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. You can continue to update and change your forecasts throughout the week, just click “Save Predictions” when you’ve settled on your choice.
Photo Credit: ABC