Directors Guild of America Awards predictions: Ridley Scott (‘The Martian’) ahead of George Miller (‘Mad Max: Fury Road’)

What can we expect when the Directors Guild of America announces nominees for Best Director on Tuesday, Jan. 12 (two days before Oscar does the same)? Ten of our Oscar Experts have entered their predictions for the DGA nominees. Collectively these mirror our forecast for the top five helmers at the Oscars, with one exception. 

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The 10 Oscarologists predicting the DGA nominees are: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com) and me. Click here to see their individual predictions.  

In descending order by odds of winning, we are predicting the DGA nominees to be:

Ridley Scott (“The Martian”) – 11/4
George Miller (“Mad Max: Fury Road”) – 3/1
Tom McCarthy (“Spotlight”) – 7/2
Alejandro G. Inarritu (“The Revenant”) – 15/2
Adam McKay (“The Big Short”) – 12/1

While we are forecasting that the first four fellows on this list will also reap Oscar bids, we expect Todd Haynes (“Carol”) to replace McKay in that line-up on Thursday. Neither man has contended with either the guild or the academy before.

We think that McKay has the edge over Haynes with the DGA because his populist film is more likely to appeal to the 16,000 plus members drawn from film, television and commercials. He is a prolific multi-hyphenate with a slew of film credits as director/writer/producer including such hits as “Anchorman,” “Step Brothers” and “The Other Guys.” Add to that his extensive background in television (“Saturday Night Live”) and online (he founded Funny or Die with his pal Will Ferrell. Conversely, “Carol” is only the sixth feature from Haynes. 

Steven Spielberg could play spoiler in both races for his helming of the hit “Bridge of Spies.” We have him at 33/1 at the DGA and 40/1 at the Oscars. He has won three of his 11 DGA bids — “The Color Purple (1985); “Schindler’s List” (1993) and “Saving Private Ryan” (1988) — and repeated at the Oscars for the latter two. 

All other possible DGA contenders are ranked as 100/1 longshots. 

Click here to see odds and rankings of our Oscar Experts

Make your DGA predictions starting with Best Director at the bottom of this post.

You’ll compete to win our contest prize for best picks — a $100 Amazon gift certificate — as well as a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s DGA nominations). Be sure to read our contest rules.

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