Last year many Emmy Awards pundits were convinced that Jonathan Banks (“Better Call Saul”) would finally win his first trophy for playing Mike Ehrmantraut, a character he originated on “Breaking Bad,” but he was taken down by Peter Dinklage (“Game of Thrones”) at the finish line. With his bid last year, Banks became the first person ever nominated in this category for three different shows (he contended for “Wiseguy” in 1989 and “Breaking Bad” in 2013). Now with his Emmy episode submission “Bali Ha’i” in which Mike is pushed to the limit, can he finally claim Emmy gold? Watch AMC’s video featurette above.
Four of our our Emmy experts drawn from major media outlets believe that Banks will earn a make-up trophy in the Best Drama Supporting Actor race following last year’s loss for the AMC drama: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed). This puts him in third place with 10/3 odds.
Even though Dinklage is just one Emmy away from tying the record of three wins set by Aaron Paul (“Breaking Bad”), eight expert think that his “Game of Thrones” co-star Kit Harington will actually prevail: Eric Deggans (NPR), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Ken Tucker (Yahoo) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times). This support translates to leading 3/2 odds.
Meanwhile, Dinklage only has two experts in his corner, resulting in 21/10 odds: Anne Thompson (Indiewire) and Adnan Virk (ESPN). Dinklage prevailed in 2011 under the blue ribbon panel system where a small number of Emmy voters signed affidavits that they watched episode submissions, but he also won last year under the new popular voting system. Does that mean he’s truly unbeatable going forward?
Coming in fourth and fifth place are Michael Kelly (“House of Cards”) and Ben Mendelsohn (“Bloodline”), respectively. Both supporting players earned their first career nominations last year and are now back in the running with odds of 12/1 (for Kelley) and 40/1 (for Mendelsohn).
And 2014 nominee Jon Voight returns to the lineup for Showtime’s “Ray Donovan,” which over-performed in nominations this year with five bids. This four-time Oscar nominee and one-time champ (“Coming Home” in 1978) trails in sixth place with 50/1 odds.
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