If they won Emmys last year, they must be popular enough to earn nominations again this year, right? That’s sound logical, but the TV academy isn’t always strictly logical. There have been a number of shocking instances when reigning champions are snubbed entirely the following year.
That’s because of the old two-stage Emmy system where a popular vote decided the nominees, and then smaller judging panels decided the winners based on sample episodes. Theoretically an actor could have just barely eked out a nomination in sixth place and then won on the basis of a knockout episode submission. That could explain how people like Krya Sedgwick (“The Closer”), Jon Cryer (“Two and a Half Men”), Eric Stonestreet (“Modern Family”), Julianna Margulies (“The Good Wife”) and Jim Parsons (“The Big Bang Theory”) were snubbed a year after winning.
But last year the TV academy changed the way in which it decided the winners, opening it up to more members as well as instituting online voting. That may have led to results more closely resembling a popular vote. This could mean that it’ll be less likely for last year’s champs to suddenly fall out of favor.
Rooney Moore: Jeffrey Tambor, Viola Davis and Regina King should be safe. King is safer than most might think because no matter what happens, she will compete in a super easy category and her show has increased its popularity.
Rich Landry: I think we could see Allison Janney snubbed. “Mom” has not taken off at any award show and she is its only Emmy nomination each year. She lost the Critics Choice award this year and I think it is well known how many Emmys she has now.
Atypical: Janney’s in until her show ends. That might be by season four or five, which is a very solid run for something like “Mom.” She’ll win a third here, I think, and be done after that. But she’s breaking Cloris’s record before her career is over, one way or the other.
Zooey the Dreamer: Julia Louis-Dreyfus is a possibility as well. After all, she’s the most often mentioned actor in relation to “I’m tired of (name) winning.” And the performance is pretty much the same. Not much change there. With the Emmys, precursors mean very little and I wouldn’t be surprised if she’s snubbed. She lost the Globe and SAG again. A fifth win would be too much and I doubt it’ll happen.
mikeboy898: LOL at all you people who think Regina King isn’t getting in this year. If anything, she could get two nominations (Drama Supporting Actress for “The Leftovers” + Movie/Mini Supporting Actress for “American Crime”). Both of the above performances are being talked about. “American Crime” is 10x more critically acclaimed now than it was during its 1st season. I’m predicting at least one nomination for Ms. King. Would be a true AMERICAN CRIME (hehe) if she were snubbed.
Tonbone: I am worried about Uzo Aduba … if [the show were] back to comedy categories I think she would have a great shot because last season the show was at its funniest with Crazy Eyes writing erotic fiction. I could see that going well for her.
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