Golden Globe predictions: ‘The Big Short’ pulls ahead of ‘The Martian’ for Best Comedy/Musical Picture

the big short the martian golden globe best picture

After Golden Globe nominations were announced, it looked like "The Martian" was the presumptive frontrunner for Best Comedy/Musical Picture since it's the only nominee with a corresponding bid for Best Director (Ridley Scott). But as the Wall Street satire "The Big Short" has picked up steam at recent precursor events (including noms from SAG, the Producers Guild and the Writers Guild), the tide has turned at the Golden Globes as well, at least according to our Experts.

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We've polled 16 film experts from such outlets as Rolling Stone, the Los Angeles Times and Entertainment Weekly, and nine of them say "The Big Short" has the edge, giving it 9/10 odds: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times).

However, six journos still think "The Martian" will prevail, giving the sci-fi adventure close 7/4 odds: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Michael Musto (Out.com), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Keith Simanton (IMDB) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).

One expert, Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), forecasts a surprise victory for the Judd Apatow comedy "Trainwreck" starring Amy Schumer, which gives that film 12/1 odds.

But our Editors, the in-house staff who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby, aren't split at all. All six of us now predict "The Big Short" will take the top prize.

However, "The Martian" still leads according to the predictions of our Top 24 Users, who had the highest scores predicting last year's Globe winners. 14 of them currently expect it to prevail, with the other 10 backing "The Big Short." "The Martian" also has a slight advantage among the more than 1,000 total Users who have contributed their predictions.

So who is right?

Top 10 Oscars underdogs: Michael B. Jordan, Charlize Theron, Harrison Ford …

Make your Golden Globe predictions starting with Best Comedy/Musical Picture to the right or at the bottom of this post.

You'll compete to win our contest prize for best picks — a $100 Amazon gift certificate — as well as a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year's Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year's Golden Globe winners). Be sure to read our contest rules.

As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it's important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.

"The Big Short" photo credit: Paramount

"The Martian" photo credit: Moviestore/REX

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