Golden Globes predictions: Will last year’s winners Gael Garcia Bernal, Rachel Bloom & Christian Slater be snubbed?

Gael Garcia Bernal, Rachel Bloom and Christian Slater may have won Golden Globes for their television performances last year, but if recent history is any indication, they are in danger of being snubbed this year thanks to the Emmy Awards skunking them all for the same season. The Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. loves to be the first to award new shows and performances, but they rarely nominate them again if their choices are not affirmed by the Emmys with at least a nomination.

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These are the drama and comedy series and performances this decade that the Globes awarded and the Emmys did not even nominate:

2015 Comedy Series: “Mozart in the Jungle”

2015 Comedy Actor: Gael Garcia Bernal (“Mozart in the Jungle”)

2015 Comedy Actress: Rachel Bloom (“Crazy Ex-Girlfriend”)

2015 Supporting Actor: Christian Slater (“Mr. Robot”)

2014 Drama Series: “The Affair”

2014 Drama Actress: Ruth Wilson (“The Affair”)

2014 Comedy Actress: Gina Rodriguez (“Jane the Virgin”)

2013 Comedy Series: “Brooklyn Nine-Nine”

2013 Comedy Actor: Andy Samberg (“Brooklyn Nine-Nine”)

2011 Drama Actor: Kelsey Grammer (“Boss”)

2011 Comedy Actress: Laura Dern (“Enlightened”)

2010 Drama Actress: Katey Sagal (“Sons of Anarchy”)

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All of the above won their Globes for programming exclusively from the second half of the calendar year, which means that they were eligible at the Globes before the Emmys. Of the eight contenders that the Globes awarded from 2010 to 2014 and the Emmys then snubbed, only Rodriguez picked up a second nomination; she lost to Bloom last year.

Other than those listed above, the only show or performance in that time that the Globes awarded, then never nominated a second time was Peter Dinklage from “Game of Thrones”; he won Best Supporting Actor for 2011. That win differs in that it was for programming that aired in the first half of the calendar year — Dinklage was already an Emmy winner for his performance in the first season by the time that the Globes rolled around. In other words, the Globes were affirming a revered performance, not anointing one.

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The Globes have not recently awarded a show or performance for a season from the first half of the year that has already been passed over by the Emmys. This makes it difficult for the likes of Showtime’s “Billions” starring Paul Giamatti and Hulu’s “The Path” starring Aaron Paul, which were both shut out at the Emmys for their first seasons that came out in the spring.

In the aggregate Golden Globes predictions of Gold Derby’s experts, editors and users, Bernal is in fifth place with 15/2 odds for Best Comedy Actor. “Mozart in the Jungle,” Bloom and Slater each rank seventh, so they’re not expected to score second nominations for Best Comedy Series, Best Comedy Actress and Best Supporting Actor, respectively.

Make your Golden Globe predictions now; change them till Dec. 12

Make your early Golden Globes TV Awards picks now and tell industry insiders which shows and performers you have out front to win on January 8. You can keep changing them until just before nominations are announced on December 12 at 5 am PT/8 am ET. But it is important to register your initial predictions now both to lock in those all-important starter odds and let Hollywood know who has the inside track for these kudos. Be sure to make your predictions right here. You’ll compete for a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s nominees). Read our contest rules.

 

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