The Grammys are next Monday (February 15) and according to our racetrack odds it’ll be a good night for Taylor Swift, but it won’t be a clean sweep for the bestselling singer-songwriter. Our odds favor a Record of the Year win for the ubiquitous “Uptown Funk” by Mark Ronson and Bruno Mars.
We have nine Expert journalists forecasting the Grammys, and seven of them are betting on “Uptown Funk,” giving it 4/11 odds: Phil Gallo, Glenn Gamboa (Newsday), Edna Gundersen, Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Lyndsey Parker (Yahoo Music), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby) and Chris Willman.
This would be Mars’s first win in this category after three previous nominations. It would be Ronson’s first win in this category as an artist, though he won as a producer of Amy Winehouse‘s “Rehab” (2007).
But Swift isn’t completely out of it. Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post) places her out front for “Blank Space,” giving her 7/1 odds. And Tim Gray (Variety) is going out on a limb for Ed Sheeran‘s “Thinking Out Loud,” giving him 15/2 odds. Neither artist has won this award before; Swift has been nominated three times before, but this is Sheeran’s first bid for Record of the Year.
None of our experts are predicting the other two nominees in this race: “Can’t Feel My Face” by The Weeknd and “Really Love” by D’Angelo and the Vanguard. This is the first nomination in this category for both.
Our Editors, we who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby, also favor “Uptown Funk.” Five out of six of us — Chris Beachum, Marcus Dixon, O’Neil, Sheehan and I — say it will win, while Rob Licuria is the lone outlier backing “Blank Space.”
Our Top 24 Users, who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Grammy winners, agree with the consensus. “Uptown Funk” has support from 22 of those elite users, with one apiece taking a chance on “Can’t Feel My Face” and “Really Love.”
Who do you think will win?
Make your Grammy predictions beginning with Record of the Year to the right or below. You can also predict the New Artist, Album, and Song categories with many more to be added soon. Just log into your Gold Derby account (or you can register for a free account via Facebook, Twitter or Google) and then start casting your votes.
Gold Derby readers just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. You can continue to update and change your forecasts, just click “Save Predictions” when you’ve settled on your choice.
Bruno Mars photo credit: David Fisher/REX
Mark Ronson photo credit: Paul Hampartsoumian/REX