Grammy predictions: Taylor Swift (‘Blank Space’) & Ed Sheeran (‘Thinking Out Loud’) battle for Song of the Year

taylor swift ed sheeran grammy song of the year

Uptown Funk” by Mark Ronson and Bruno Mars is the Grammy frontrunner for Record of the Year, but it’s not nominated for Song of the Year, which goes to those who penned the tune. Collectively, we disagree on who will win instead. Taylor Swift‘s “Blank Space” is out front, but she should watch out for Ed Sheeran‘s “Thinking Out Loud.”

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We have nine Expert journalists making their predictions, and five of them predict Swift will prevail, giving her 9/10 odds: Edna Gundersen, Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby) and Chris Willman.

Blank Space” was written by Swift with Max Martin and Shellback. Swift has two previous nominations in this race, but she has yet to win it. It’s the fourth bid for famous hit-maker Martin, who previously penned the Backstreet Boys‘ “I Want it That Way” and Katy Perry‘s “Roar,” among many other songs. He also has yet to win this award.

Two more experts, Glenn Gamboa (Newsday) and Tim Gray (Variety), predict Sheeran will prevail, giving him 7/2 odds. He has one previous nomination in this category, but has yet to win it. He co-wrote “Thinking About Loud” with Amy Wadge.

Phil Gallo is predicting “Alright” by Kendrick Lamar, and Lyndsey Parker favors “Girl Crush” by Little Big Town, giving both of them 15/2 odds.

Alright” was written by Lamar along with Mark Spears and Pharrell Williams. This is Lamar’s first nomination in this category, and it’s also Pharrell’s first nom. But no rap song has ever won this award.

Girl Crush” was penned by Lori McKenna, Hillary Lindsey and Liz Rose. It’s the first nomination for a Little Big Town song in this category.

None of our experts are predicting the last nominee, “See You Again” by Wiz Khalifa and Charlie Puth and co-written by those two along with DJ Frank E and Andrew Cedar. It’s their first nomination in this category, but they face the same bias against rap as “Alright” does.

Our Editors, we who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby, agree with the consensus that Swift is in the lead. Four out of six of us — Marcus Dixon, O’Neil, Sheehan and I — predict “Blank Space,” while Chris Beachum is betting on “Thinking Out Loud” and Rob Licuria thinks it will be “Alright.”

But our Top 24 Users, who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Grammy winners, are split right down the middle. Ten of them are predicting “Blank space” and 10 others are predicting “Thinking Out Loud,” with the last four going against the grain to pick “See You Again.”

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Who do you think will win?

Make your Grammy predictions beginning with Song of the Year to the right or below. You can also predict the New Artist, Album, and Song categories with many more to be added soon. Just log into your Gold Derby account (or you can register for a free account via Facebook, Twitter or Google) and then start casting your votes.

You’ll compete to win a $100 Amazon gift certificate as well as a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Grammy nominations). Be sure to read our contest rules.

Gold Derby readers just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. You can continue to update and change your forecasts, just click “Save Predictions” when you’ve settled on your choice.

Taylor Swift and Ed Sheeran photo credits: NBC

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