Experts’ Grammy predictions: Taylor Swift will win Album of the Year for ‘1989’

taylor swift

Who will win Album of the Year at the Grammy Awards? Now you can consult the Experts. We're polling nine journalists from publications including Variety, Newsday and the Huffington Post, and they're forecasting a historic victory for Taylor Swift, who contends for her hit pop crossover album "1989."

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Swift would be the first female artist to win Album of the Year twice as a main album artist (others, like Norah Jones, Alison Krauss and Lauryn Hill have multiple wins as featured artists). She already made history in 2009 when she won for "Fearless" at age 20, which made her the youngest winner in history.

Seven out of nine experts predict her to win, giving her 4/11 odds: Glenn Gamboa (Newsday), Tim Gray (Variety), Edna Gundersen, Lyndsey Parker (Yahoo Music), Chris Willman and Gold Derby's Tom O'Neil and Paul Sheehan.

But another two experts anticipate an upset victory for Kendrick Lamar ("To Pimp a Butterfly"), giving him 7/2 odds: Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post) and Phil Gallo.

Lamar might be disadvantaged by the fact that rap rarely wins Album of the Year. Hill's hip-hop-infused R&B album "The Miseducation of Lauryn Hill" won in 1998, and then OutKast's "Speakerboxxx/The Love Below" prevailed in 2003, but no rap or hip-hop album has taken top honors since.

But there's reason to believe the recording academy could make an exception for Lamar. He dominates this year's awards with 11 nominations, far more than any other artist. He even contends twice with Swift: Best Pop Duo/Group and Best Music Video for their collaboration "Bad Blood."

None of our experts are currently predicting the other three nominees: The Weeknd ("Beauty Behind the Madness") with 50/1 odds, Alabama Shakes ("Sound and Color") with 66/1 odds and Chris Stapleton ("Traveller") with 80/1 odds.

Our Editors (who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby), Top 24 Users (who scored highest predicting last year's Grammy winners) and all Users share the consensus that Swift will win.

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Who do you think will win?

Make your Grammy predictions beginning with Album of the Year to the right or below. Just log into your Gold Derby account (or you can register for a free account via Facebook, Twitter or Google) and then start casting your votes.

You'll compete to win a $100 Amazon gift certificate as well as a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year's Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year's Grammy nominations). Be sure to read our contest rules.

Gold Derby readers just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it's important that you give us your predictions. You can continue to update and change your forecasts, just click "Save Predictions" when you've settled on your choice.

Taylor Swift photo credit: MediaPunch/REX

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