‘Hacksaw Ridge’: Why we might be underestimating it at Oscars

In our message board, forum poster Emil Petrov is asking whether we’re underestimating “Hacksaw Ridge” in the Oscar race for Best Picture. “The movie is getting amazing reviews, and I believe it is time to take the movie more seriously for awards recognition,” he explains. “Best Picture seems a good bet [for a nomination] and few techs. But is it possible … Mel Gibson to be nominated for Director?”

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According to the predictions of our Experts, “Hacksaw Ridge” falls just outside of nomination position in 12th place (the motion picture academy will nominate up to 10 films for Best Picture), but that’s way up from one month ago when it was in 20th place. Gibson appears to be a long shot for Best Director in 14th position, but lead actor Andrew Garfield is knocking on the door, ranked sixth for Best Actor — up from 21st one month ago.

Do the rest of our forum posters agree about the film’s improved Oscar chances? Read some of their comments below, and join the discussion in our forums.

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pacinofan: I am starting to think it will be a best picture nominee, now that there is up to ten of them, and Mel Gibson may slip into the best director category over say Kenneth Lonergan, since Gibson’s film is more of a technical achievement. Think of it as this year’s “American Sniper” where a certain right wing contingent in Hollywood really falls for it.

thedemonhog: I like the “American Sniper” analogy. I am not sure why Hollywood would embrace a Mel Gibson comeback, but these things happen sometimes. I could see it getting up to six nominations: Picture, Actor, Screenplay, Editing, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing.

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Andrew Carden: The most I can see for this is perhaps a Globe nod for Gibson and maybe, just maybe, a tech nomination or two at the Oscars. From what I gather, the industry is still, for the most part, awfully cool on him.

DominicCobb: Technical merits should be likely. Garfield’s in a tough one here [competing against his other lead role in] “Silence,” of course. Screenplay and Director are going to be tricky unless the field thins and the academy really likes this. I don’t think a BP nod is too hard to imagine though. Not saying likely, but it’s possible.

Predict the Oscar nominations now; change them till January 24

How will “Hacksaw Ridge” fare at the Oscars? Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how each film is faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before nominations are announced on January 24 at 5:00 am PT/8:00 am ET. Be sure to read our contest rules. And join in the fierce debate over the Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.

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