“Fargo” star Jean Smart may be the frontrunner to win the Best Movie/Mini Supporting Actress race, but Gold Derby’s experts drawn from major media outlets are wary of an upset by reigning champ Regina King (“American Crime”). While Smart is a bonafide Emmy veteran with three victories under her belt (guest for “Frasier” in 2000 and 2001, supporting for “Samantha Who” in 2008), King is a fresh new face on the Emmy block who prevailed last year on her first nomination.
Smart, who currently enjoys leading 1/3 odds to win, has the support of 12 experts: Robert Bianco (USA Today), Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Eric Deggans (NPR), Lynn Elber (Associated Press), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo), Richard Lawson (Vanity Fair), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Ken Tucker (Yahoo) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times).
Meanwhile, King has next-best odds of 27/20, with a pair of experts predicting her to prevail: Don Kaplan (NY Daily News) and Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes).
Not to be outdone, 2014 champ Kathy Bates (“American Horror Story: Hotel”) also earns the support of two experts: Adnan Virk (ESPN) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed).
Of the remaining four experts, Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood) opts for Olivia Colman (“The Night Manager”), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby) backs Anika Noni Rose (“Roots”), Lynette Rice (Ent. Weekly) forecasts Sarah Paulson (“American Horror Story: Hotel”) and Anne Thompson (Indiewire) predicts Melissa Leo (“All the Way”).
When our experts’ rankings are combined together, we see more strong contenders emerge in the Best Movie/Mini Supporting Actress race, even if they don’t currently have any #1 votes. Those ladies include Emayatzy Corinealdi (“Roots”), Cristin Milioti (“Fargo”) and Catherine Keener (“Show Me a Hero”). See racetrack odds in all top Emmy races.
Below, see current odds for the Top 10 set by the experts’ picks. Make your predictions right here and compete against these experts and your friends.
BEST MOVIE/MINI SUPP. ACTRESS – Odds to win
1.) Jean Smart (“Fargo”) – 1/3
2.) Regina King (“American Crime”) – 27/20
3.) Melissa Leo (“All the Way”) – 8/5
4.) Sarah Paulson (“American Horror Story: Hotel”) – 9/4
5.) Olivia Colman (“The Night Manager”) – 23/10
6.) Emayatzy Corinealdi (“Roots”) – 11/4
7.) Kathy Bates (“American Horror Story: Hotel”) – 3/1
8.) Anika Noni Rose (“Roots”) – 7/2
9.) Cristin Militoi (“Fargo”) – 11/2
10.) Catherine Keener (“Show Me a Hero”) – 13/2
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