Julia Louis-Dreyfus is on the verge of making Emmy history. She has won Best Comedy Actress five times: once for “The New Adventures of Old Christine” (2006) and four times in a row for “Veep” (2011-2015). That ties her with two other five-time champs: Mary Tyler Moore (“The Dick Van Dyke Show” and “The Mary Tyler Moore Show”) and Candice Bergen (“Murphy Brown”). If she wins again this year, she’ll be the first to claim five in a row in this category and the only one to have six in all (she also has an Emmy for her supporting role on “Seinfeld”). And it looks like she is going to do it.
Fourteen of the 18 expert TV journalists we’ve polled predict another win for Louis-Dreyfus, giving her 1/10 odds: Robert Bianco (USA Today), Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Eric Deggans (NPR), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Richard Lawson (Vanity Fair), Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Anne Thompson (Indiewire), Ken Tucker (Yahoo), Adnan Virk (ESPN), Glenn Whipp (LA Times) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed). See racetrack odds in all top Emmy races.
But no comedy actress contender has ever won five in a row. If the TV academy voters are ready to move on, this might be Amy Schumer‘s golden opportunity. Last year, the breakout comedian won Best Variety Sketch Series as a producer of “Inside Amy Schumer.” This year, the multi-hyphenate star has a chance to earn up to seven Emmy nominations as a writer, producer and actress for “Inside Amy,” her variety special “Live at the Apollo” and her guest appearance on “Saturday Night Live.” Two experts say she’ll win the Comedy Actress contest, giving her 9/10 odds: Lynn Elber (Associated Press) and Robert Rorke (New York Post).
Kerr Lordygam (Rotten Tomatoes) is going out on a limb for Ellie Kemper (“Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”), who gets 6/5 odds. Don Kaplan (New York Daily News) is taking an even bigger leap, picking Anna Faris (“Mom”) to win, giving her 9/2 odds.
There’s potential for more turnover than usual this year. Of last year’s six nominees for Best Comedy Actress, only Louis-Dreyfus, Schumer and Lily Tomlin (“Grace and Frankie,” 13/8 odds) are eligible again this year. Edie Falco (“Nurse Jackie”), Lisa Kudrow (“The Comeback”) and Amy Poehler (“Parks and Recreation”) are off the air.
Along with Kemper joining the Comedy Actress lineup, we’re forecasting the addition of newcomer Rachel Bloom (“Crazy Ex-Girlfriend”), who gets 8/5 odds. Bloom recently won the Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice Award for Best Comedy Actress, but no one from a CW show has ever been nominated.
Hoping for her first nomination is Tracee Ellis Ross (“Black-ish”), who gets 5/2 odds. Last year her co-star Anthony Anderson earned a bid for Best Comedy Actor. Our experts are predicting a big breakout by this sophomore topical comedy.
Below, current odds set by the experts’ picks. Make your predictions here and compete against these experts and your friends.
BEST COMEDY ACTRESS
1. Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep” – 1/10
2. Amy Schumer, “Inside Amy Schumer” – 9/10
3. Ellie Kemper, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” – 6/5
4. Rachel Bloom, “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend” – 8/5
5. Lily Tomlin, “Grace and Frankie” – 13/8
6. Tracee Ellis Ross, “Black-ish” – 5/2
7. Constance Wu, “Fresh Off the Boat” – 4/1
8. Anna Faris, “Mom” – 9/2
9. Gina Rodriguez, “Jane the Virgin” – 6/1
10. Melissa McCarthy, “Mike and Molly” – 6/1
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions right here. You’ll compete to win our contest prizes for best picks — $500 (first place), $300 (second place) and $200 (third place) in Amazon gift certificates — a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Emmy nominations). Be sure to read our contest rules.