Can Kevin Spacey (‘House of Cards’) make SAG Awards history by winning three in a row?

Poor Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards”) — he fell victim a few months ago to the SAG-winner curse at the Emmys when he lost Best Drama Actor to Rami Malek (“Mr. Robot”). Now Spacey is going for what would be a nice consolation prize: if he wins Best TV Drama Actor at the SAG Awards for the third time in a row, he’ll make history.

SAG Awards nominations 2017: Full list of nominees

James Gandolfini (“The Sopranos”) currently is the only actor to have won this category three times (1999, 2002, 2007), but never consecutively. Martin Sheen (“The West Wing”) won back-to-back (2000-2001), but his awards nemesis Gandolfini took back the title from him the following year, preventing him from three-peating. Steve Buscemi (“Boardwalk Empire”) also won twice (2010-2011), but then Bryan Cranston (“Breaking Bad”) won in 2012 and stopped Buscemi from making it three-in-a-row.

Before that Dennis Franz (“NYPD Blue”) and Anthony Edwards (“ER”) kept trading the award back and forth; Franz won in 1994 (the inaugural year) and again in 1996, and Edwards won in 1995 and 1997, so neither was able to grab a third trophy.

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Kiefer Sutherland (“24”) also won twice non-consecutively (2003 and 2005). He might have pulled three straight wins, but his fellow actors decided to honor TV legend Jerry Orbach (“Law & Order”) posthumously in 2004.

Hugh Laurie (“House”) might also have come close to pulling this off. He won in 2006 and 2008, but sentiment for the farewell season of “The Sopranos” got in his way, pushing Gandolfini to victory in 2007.

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According to Gold Derby’s exclusive odds, Spacey currently sits in third place with odds of 7/2.  Standing in his way are Malek, who sits in first place with odds of 3/2, and John Lithgow (“The Crown”), who ranks second with 21/10 odds and could make history of his own.

But there is still hope for Spacey to make history. Even though the SAG Awards have spread the wealth in the Best TV Drama Actor race, we know they don’t mind repeating themselves. Keep in mind that in the Best TV Comedy Actor category no one had ever won three consecutively until Alec Baldwin (’30 Rock”) won seven in a row (2006-2012).

Make your SAG predictions now; change them till Jan. 29

Make your SAG picks and tell industry insiders which shows, films and performers you have out front to win on January 29.  You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before the show time. Be sure to make your predictions right here. You’ll compete for a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s nominees). Read our contest rules.

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