How Lena Headey (‘Game of Thrones’) could pull off a Golden Globes upset

It has taken six seasons for the Golden Globes to finally recognize Lena Headey for her work as the conniving Cersei Lannister on “Game of Thrones.” The Hollywood Foreign Press usually loves to recognize performers on new shows, but Headey wouldn’t be the first to pull off a win for Best TV Supporting Actress for a later season of her series. Kim Cattrall (“Sex and the City,” 2003), Chloe Sevingy (“Big Love,” 2010) and Joanne Froggatt (“Downton Abbey,” 2015) also achieved that feat.

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Many prognosticators believed that after her walk of “Shame!” in season five’s finale “Mother’s Mercy” Headey might contend at the Globes, but she was snubbed. However, season six belonged to Cersei. It began with Headey mourning the death of her only daughter, Myrcella (Nell Tiger Free). Then while awaiting trial by the High Sparrow (Jonathan Pryce) she plotted how to take him down. Seemingly defeated, it wasn’t until the season finale when Cersei vanquished all of her enemies at once by blowing up the sept. On top of that, her son Tommen (Dean-Charles Chapman), the reigning king, killed himself, thereby completing a tragic prophecy handed down to Cersei when she was a child. But Ceresei finally gets what she’s always wanted and is crowned Queen of the Seven Kingdoms. To put it mildly this was Headey’s best season to date.

Besides the Globes’ love of awarding what’s new, they love to correct the Emmys’ mistakes. Cattrall had been nominated for “Sex and the City” at the Golden Globes and Emmys two years in a row (1999-2000), but with her co-star Sarah Jessica Parker pregnant in real life Cattrall’s story line was increased and she won the Globe (2003); however, the Emmys never awarded her.

Dish ‘Game of Thrones’ with Hollywood insiders in our notorious forums

Several years later Sevigny was completely snubbed by the Emmys for her work on “Big Love,” but the Globes saw fit to award her (2010) on her first and only nomination for that role. And Froggatt, who had always stood in her co-star Maggie Smith‘s shadow, won the Globe on her first try (2015) with a storyline in season four focusing on sexual assault; she never won an Emmy either.

Headey has contended three times in a row at the Emmys without winning (2014-2016), and now she could easily be the next on this list redeemed at the Golden Globes.

Diversity at the Golden Globes: Actors of color could make history

For its first season in 2011 “Game of Thrones” received two Globe nominations: Best Drama Series and Best TV Supporting Actor (Peter Dinklage), winning the latter. The show was snubbed entirely for its second and third seasons, but it returned to the Best Drama Series race in 2015 and 2016 for its fourth and fifth seasons, but none of its actors were singled out for recognition.

Now that “Game of Thrones” is the Emmys’ most awarded primetime series of all time, the Globes are beginning to look foolish for not awarding one of the most popular shows on television. That’s what happened in 2014 when “Breaking Bad” and star Bryan Cranston finally won for their final season. The Hollywood Foreign Press Association does not like to look as if they’re out of touch, so if they choose this year as their opportunity to correct that Headey could easily go along for the ride.

Golden Globes 2017: Full list of nominations

According to Gold Derby’s exclusive odds in the catch-all Best TV Supporting Actress race, Thandie Newton (“Westworld”) sits in first place with odds of 2/5 as of this writing. Chrissy Metz (“This Is Us”) is currently in second place with odds of 9/2, while her on-screen mother, Mandy Moore, is right on her heels in third place with odds of 18/1. Olivia Colman (“The Night Manager”), the only nominee from a limited series or movie, sits in fourth with odds of 33/1. Headey is in fifth place with odds of 40/1, but if there is ever a category designed to give us an upset it’s Best TV Supporting Actress — remember Maura Tierney‘s surprise win just last year for “The Affair”?

Don’t underestimate Headey; while the odds might have her in last place this category is ripe for an upset. The Globes clearly are paying attention to her stellar work on “Game of Thrones.” Keep in mind the only other performer ever nominated for the show (Dinklage) also won when many thought he might not.

Make your Golden Globe predictions now; change them till Jan. 8 

Make your Golden Globes Awards picks now and tell industry insiders which films and performers you have out front to win on January 8. You can keep changing them until just before show time. Be sure to make your predictions right here. You’ll compete for a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s nominees). Read our contest rules.

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