The MTV Video Music Awards air live on Sunday, August 28, so Charles Bright and I convened to discuss who will win top honors (watch part one of our two-part slugfest above). Beyonce leads the nominations with 11, including Video of the Year for “Formation.” She’s joined in the top category by Adele (“Hello”), Justin Bieber (“Sorry”), Drake (“Hotline Bling”) and Kanye West (“Famous”).
In the top category I was leaning towards Bieber’s “Sorry” because his legions of young Beliebers have likely voted in earnest. “It’s always possible we’re underestimating fangirls,” says Bright about the chances of a Bieber upset. “but Beyonce has got some big fangirls too. I brunch with a lot of them on Sundays. Even with the popularity that Justin Bieber normally has, Beyonce’s ‘Lemonade’ was such a huge thing this year that I think it’s going to be a sheer force of nature, and I think ‘Formation’ is going to walk away with this.”
If Bieber somehow does manage to edge out Beyonce, we both eagerly anticipate West inevitably storming the stage to protest the pop star’s victory as he did when Taylor Swift defeated Beyonce for Best Female Video in 2009, but in this case we’re not sure anyone would hold it against him. “Everyone would be praising Kanye,” Bright speculates. “I will nominate him for the Nobel Peace Prize if he does that.”
Neither of us expects West to prevail for his own video, “Famous,” which sparked controversy for depicting nude figures of celebs like Taylor Swift, Caitlyn Jenner and Donald Trump. We don’t think Adele will prevail either; though she’s one of the most popular artists in the world, her music skews older, and she has yet to win a single fan-voted award at the VMAs. She previously won three professional categories for “Rolling in the Deep” (2011): Best Art Direction, Best Cinematography and Best Editing.
As for Drake, he may be out of luck in the top contest for his oft-parodied dance moves in “Hotline Bling,” though Bright and I believe he will win in other categories, including Best Male Video.
Who do you think will win at the VMAs? Watch our slugfest above, then click here to join the discussion in our forums.