Oscar nomination predictions: Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby) tops all Experts

Oscar nominations prediction scores The Revenant Tom Hardy Spotlight

Congratulations to Gold Derby’s executive editor Paul Sheehan for topping all film Experts in predicting Thursday’s Oscar nominations. He had a very impressive 79% accuracy rate and a point total of 24,355 by wisely using his 500 and 200 big bets.

Among Paul’s best picks were all correct acting nominees for the lead categories and eight of 10 supporting slots. In fact, his only acting misses were Idris Elba (“Beasts of No Nation“) for Tom Hardy (“The Revenant“) and Helen Mirren (“Trumbo“) for Rachel McAdams (“Spotlight“).

Related: Complete list of 2015 Oscar nominations

Following Sheehan, the next best result among our 23 Experts is a second place tie between Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood) and Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times) with 77% correct. Next up are Michael Musto (Out.com), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com) with 75% right. Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), and Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly) are then tied at 74%.

Tariq Khan (Fox News) has 73% correct and is followed by Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), and Kevin Polowy (Yahoo) at 72%. Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair) and Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post) are next at 71%.

Peter Travers (Rolling Stone)had 70% accuracy and then four people at 69%: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Pete Hammond (Deadline), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), and Brian Truitt (USA Today).

The next spot with 68% is held by Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), who is followed by Keith Simanton (IMDB) with 65% right. Tim Gray (Variety) is then at 64%.

Dave Karger (Fandango) scored 78% predicting 21 out of 24 categories (he skipped those shorts). Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere) scored 64% predicting 10 races.

You can see their scores at the bottom of this leaderboard and you can compare your score to theirs in our overall leaderboard rankings of all contestants, which also includes links to see each participant’s predictions. Or you can find your score by clicking on “My Award Scores,” which appears in the gold menu bar when you’re signed in to your account.

Among the predictor groups, the best performance was by Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who had done the best predicting last year’s winners) with 79.76% accuracy. The Experts and Editors are then tied with 76.42% correct. The overall Users are last with 75.59% right. Click each link in the previous sentence or in our accuracy chart to see these scores for yourself.

Related: Oscar nominations have ‘The Revenant’ out front with 12

79% CORRECT
Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby)

77% CORRECT
Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood)
Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times)

75% CORRECT
Michael Musto (Out.com)
Sasha Stone (Awards Daily)
Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com)

74% CORRECT
Thelma Adams (Gold Derby)
Jack Mathews (Gold Derby)
Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly)

73% CORRECT
Tariq Khan (Fox News)

72% CORRECT
Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior)
Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby)
Kevin Polowy (Yahoo)

71% CORRECT
Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair)
Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post)

70% CORRECT
Peter Travers (Rolling Stone)

69% CORRECT
Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes)
Pete Hammond (Deadline)
Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly)
Brian Truitt (USA Today)

68% CORRECT
Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood)

65% CORRECT
Keith Simanton (IMDB)

64% CORRECT
Tim Gray (Variety)

What do you think will win Best Picture? 

Make your Oscar predictions using the menu to the right or below. 

You’ll compete to win our contest prizes for best picks — $500 (first place), $300 (second place) and $200 (third place) in Amazon gift certificates — a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Oscar nominations). Be sure to read our contest rules.

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