Oscar predictions: Best Cinematography nominations for ‘The Revenant,’ ‘Mad Max: Fury Road,’ ‘Sicario’ …

the revenant mad max fury road sicario oscar predictions best cinematography

In the Oscar race for Best Cinematography, there is the chance for history to be made in more ways than one. "The Revenant's" Emmanuel Lubezki could become the first cinematographer in history to win three in a row; he claimed the last two for "Gravity" (2013) and "Birdman" (2014). But while he's stringing victories together, Roger Deakins is hoping fi finally win for the first time for "Sicario," which would be his 13th nomination.

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The five films we think will be nominated for this award are below in order of their racetrack odds, with the predicted winner, "The Revenant" noted in gold. These official odds are derived from the predictions of 25 Expert film journalists along with the Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year's Oscar nominations and the thousands of Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.

"The Revenant" – 7/4
"Mad Max: Fury Road" – 7/2
"Sicario" – 6/1
"Carol" – 8/1
"The Hateful Eight" – 14/1

Compare Oscar odds in all 24 categories:
Experts vs. Editors vs. Top 24 Users vs. All Users

All four of our predictions groups — experts, editors, users and Top 24 — agree on this lineup of nominees, and they all back the same winner as well.

The experts strongly favor "The Revenant" for the win, with 19 out of 25 backing the survival story: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere), Glenn Whipp (LA Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).

But the other six experts say it will be "Mad Max": Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Tim Gray (Variety), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood) and Brian Truitt (USA Today).

Our editors also best odds to "The Revenant," with all six of us predicting it to prevail: Chris Beachum, Marcus DixonRob Licuria, Paul Sheehan, Tom O'Neil and myself.

The Top 24 Users are also strongly in favor of "The Revenant," with 20 of those elite predictors giving it best odds, including Cinemateo21, who tied for the highest accuracy predicting last year's Oscar nominations (79%). Another three top users pick "Mad Max," including Denton Davidson, who also had 79% at last year's nominations. The last of our Top 24 is predicting "Sicario."

Dish all the Oscar races in our red-hot forums with Hollywood insiders

What do you think will win Best Cinematography? 

Make your Oscar predictions using the menu to the right or below. 

You'll compete to win our contest prizes for best picks — $500 (first place), $300 (second place) and $200 (third place) in Amazon gift certificates — a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year's Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year's Oscar nominations). Be sure to read our contest rules.

Meet the guy who won our contest to predict the Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar.

Photo Credits: "The Revenant" by 20th Century Fox; "Mad Max: Fury Road" by Warner Bros. Pictures; "Sicario" by Moviestore/REX

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