“Spotlight” has regained first place in the race for Best Picture over “The Revenant” according to our Oscar experts. Fifteen journalists from leading publications like Entertainment Weekly and Huffington Post have weighed in with their predictions. Seven of them are now backing five-time Oscar nominee “Spotlight,” which was named Best Picture at the Critics’ Choice Awards on Sunday. That support gives it odds of 27/20 to prevail on Oscar Sunday (February 28).
Six are still supporting “The Revenant,” which won three Golden Globes and has a leading 12 Oscar nomiations. Those votes translate into odds of 17/10. Our other two experts are predicting”The Big Short,” a late entry into the race that racked up five Oscar nominations and now has odds of 13/2 to win.
Ten-time Oscar nominee “Mad Max: Fury Road” dominated the Critics’ Choice Awards, winning nine awards. It now has odds of 66/1 to take the top prize at the Oscars. And its helmer, George Miller, has just moved into first place over Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (“The Revenant”) for Best Director.
“The Martian, which contends in seven Oscar categories but not Best Director, also has odds of 66/1. “Room” (4 nominations) is at 80/1 while “Bridge of Spies” (6 nominations) and “Brooklyn” (3 nominations) sit at 100/1.
Kevin Polowy (Yahoo) joins the half dozen experts already backing “Spotlight” for the win: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly) and Brian Truitt (USA Today).
The six pundits picking “The Revenant” to prevail are: Edward Douglas (Comingsoon), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood/ Indiewire), Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com) and me.
Click here to see charts revealing how all of our Experts rank the contenders in all 24 categories.
Be sure to click on each category to see the individual Experts predictions for that race.
And click here to see the rankings and odds generated by combining their predictions.
Our Experts are predicting that “The Revenant” will win two other Oscars: Actor (Leonardo DiCaprio) and Cinematography.
“Mad Max: Fury Road” is expected to take home seven Oscars: Director (George Miller), Film Editing, Makeup & Hairstyling, Production Design, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing and Visual Effects.
“Spotlight” will claim one other award: Original Screenplay.
“The Big Short” will win one: Adapted Screenplay.
“Room” is predicted to win Actress for Brie Larson while “Creed” will land Supporting Actor (Sylvester Stallone) and “Carol” will net Supporting Actress (Rooney Mara).
“Cinderella” is forecast for Costume Design, “The Hateful Eight” is ahead for Score and “The Hunting Ground” is tipped for Song.
Make your own Oscar predictions now beginning with Best Picture to the right or below using our easy drag-and-drop menu.
If you reap one of the top three scores forecasting the winners, you can win our top contest prizes: $500, $300 or $200 Amazon gift certificates. See contest rules.
And you could earn a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Oscar champs).
Photos: “Spotlight” (Open Road); “The Revenant” (Fox); “The Big Short” (Paramount)