The Oscar fields of Costume Design, Production Design and Makeup & Hairstyling often go to visually lavish period or fantasy productions. So who will earn nominations in these races when the final contenders are announced on Thursday (January 14)?
These official racetrack odds below are derived from the predictions of 24 Expert film journalists along with the Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s Oscar nominations and the thousands of Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.
The experts favor “Cinderella” for the win in the Costume Design contest, with 13 out of 24 backing the Disney fairy tale: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Michael Musto (Out.com), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).
But another seven experts say it will be “Carol”: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Tim Gray (Variety), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times).
Three experts are going out on a limb for “The Danish Girl”: Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly) and Brian Truitt (USA Today).
Our last expert, Jack Mathews (Gold Derby) thinks “Mad Max: Fury Road” will take the prize.
Our six editors are also divided over the race for Best Costume Design. Paul Sheehan and I say “Cinderella” will prevail. Chris Beachum and Rob Licuria give the edge to “Carol.” Marcus Dixon says it will be “Brooklyn.” And Tom O’Neil backs “The Danish Girl.”
The Top 24 Users are split three ways but strongly in favor of “Cinderella,” with 27 of those elite predictors giving it best odds, including Denton Davidson, who tied for the highest accuracy predicting last year’s Oscar nominations (79%). Another five top users pick “Carol,” including Cinemateo21, who also had 79% at last year’s nominations. The last of our Top 24 is predicting “The Danish Girl.”
There’s even more division in the race for Best Production Design, where 15 out of 24 experts, four out of six editors and 12 of our Top 24 pick “Mad Max: Fury Road” to prevail, but “Bridge of Spies” and “Carol” are both forces to be reckoned with in that race as well.
“Mad Max” is also the strong favorite to win Best Makeup and Hairstyling, with support from 18 out of 20 experts, five out of six editors and a whopping 20 of our Top 24 Users, though “The Revenant” also has significant support from our predictors.
What do you think will win Best Costume Design?
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Photo Credits: “The Revenant” by 20th Century Fox; “Mad Max: Fury Road” by Warner Bros. Pictures; “Sicario” by Moviestore/REX