Oscar predictions: Can ‘Straight Outta Compton,’ ‘Inside Out’ or ‘Ex Machina’ win Best Original Screenplay?

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Despite being snubbed at the Oscars for Best Picture, can “Straight Outta Compton,” “Inside Out” or “Ex Machina” still win Best Original Screenplay? Or do rival nominees “Spotlight” and “Bridge of Spies” have an easy pass in this race because of their Best Pic nominations?

The good news for this trio of films is that a total of five original screenplays have won this race without a corresponding bid for Best Picture since 1990 (see list below). However, it’s important to note that this scenario hasn’t happened once since the expanded Best Picture lineup came about in 2009.

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Here’s the list of all the original screenwriters that have prevailed over the past 25 years without their films being nominated for Best Picture:

Charlie Kaufman, Michel Gondry and Pierre Bismuth won for “Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind” (2004), beating out Best Picture nominee “The Aviator.”

Pedro Almodovar won for “Talk to Her” (2002), taking down Best Picture nominee “Gangs of New York.”

Cameron Crowe won for “Almost Famous” (2000) over Best Picture nominees “Erin Brockovich” and “Gladiator.”

Christopher McQuarrie won for “The Usual Suspects” (1995), taking out Best Picture nominee “Braveheart.”

And Callie Khouri won for “Thelma & Louise” (1991), beating Best Picture nominee “Bugsy.”

According to exclusive Gold Derby odds that are derived from the predictions made by our expert journalists, in-house staff editors and contest entrants like you, “Spotlight” (Tom McCarthy and Josh Singer) currently has leading 2/11 odds to win the race for Best Original Screenplay.

Meanwhile, fellow Best Picture nominee “Bridge of Spies” (Matt Charman, Joel Coen and Ethan Coen) is down in last place with 50/1 odds, where it’s tied with “Straight Outta Compton” (Andrea Berloff, Jonathan Herman, S. Leigh Savidge and Alan Wenkus).

The other two nominees in this race are “Inside Out” (Josh Cooley, Ronnie del Carmen, Pete Docter and Meg LeFauve) in second place with 11/1 odds and “Ex Machina” (Alex Garland) in third place with odds of 40/1. Click here to see up-to-date odds and rankings in all 24 Oscar races.

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