“La La Land” still lead sin the Oscar race for Best Picture. Eighteen of our 24 Oscar experts derived from major media outlets continue to back Damien Chazelle‘s romance musical. Kenneth Longergan‘s domestic drama “Manchester by the Sea,” which led when we opened our predictions center in August, now has the votes of just five pundits. And Ang Lee‘s technically innovative war film “Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk” is backed by only one of our two dozen Oscar prognosticators.
But watch out for Barry Jenkin‘s critically acclaimed character study “Moonlight.” While the film, whcih opened on Oct. 21 to some of the best reviews of the year, does not have any first-place votes, it is now ranked high enough by individual experts to place third on our overall Oscar odds chart as detailed below.
See how our experts rank Oscar contenders according to likelihood of winning in all top races. Use the drop-down menus at the top of each page to see other categories. And see individual experts’ Oscar predictions as well.
1. “La La Land” (9/2 odds)
Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Adnan Virk (ESPN), Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogetEbert.com).
2. “Manchester by the Sea” (6/1 odds)
Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Tim Gray (Variety), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (Indiewire), Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere)
3. “Moonlight” (9/1 odds)
4. “Loving” (10/1 odds)
5. “Fences” (11/1 odds)
6. “Lion” (14/1 odds)
7. “Silence” (16/1 odds)
8. “Jackie” (22/1 odds)
9. “Arrival” (25/1 odds)
10. “Sully” (28/1 odds)
11. “Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk” (28/1 odds)
Michael Musto (Out.com),
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions. How do you think “La La Land” will do with academy voters? Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how this film is faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before nominations are announced on January 24 at 5:00 am PT/8:00 am ET. Be sure to read our contest rules. And join in the fierce debate over the Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.