“Game of Thrones” star Peter Dinklage is just one Emmy Award away from tying the record of three wins set by Aaron Paul (“Breaking Bad”) in the Drama Supporting Actor race. And according to Gold Derby’s Emmy experts drawn from major media outlets, he has overwhelming 1/10 odds to win this race for the third time. His closest rival? Newcomer Christian Slater (“Mr. Robot”), who despite his acclaimed career in front of the camera has never been nominated for an Emmy … yet. See racetrack odds in all top Emmy races.
Dinklage has the support of 14 of our 20 experts: Robert Bianco (USA Today), Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Lynn Elber (Associated Press), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo), Don Kaplan (NY Daily News), Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes), Lynette Rice (Ent. Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (Indiewire), Ken Tucker (Yahoo), Adnan Virk (ESPN), Glenn Whipp (LA Times) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed).
Slater has second-best odds of 23/10, with three experts predicting him to prevail on his first-ever nomination: Eric Deggans (NPR), Richard Lawson (Vanity Fair) and Robert Rorke (New York Post).
The remaining three experts are going rogue, with Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood) opting for last year’s nominee Michael Kelly (“House of Cards”), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby) forecasting breakout star Kit Harington (“Game of Thrones”) and Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine) backing TV vet Michael McKean (“Better Call Saul”).
Last year’s nominees in the Drama Supporting Actor race were Kelly, Jonathan Banks (“Better Call Saul”), Jim Carter (“Downton Abbey”), Alan Cumming (“The Good Wife”), Ben Mendelsohn (“Bloodline”) and eventual winner Dinklage. This is one of the rare categories where all of the previous year’s nominees are still eligible, which means there’s a chance Emmy voters will just name-check the same six supporting players again. But that wouldn’t be any fun, would it?
If the voters do opt for new blood, watch for Slater and McKean to be major threats for their buzzed-about roles as a computer hacker and a hypersensitive lawyer, respectfully. Other potential newbies include Ray Romano as a record company executive in HBO’s recently-cancelled “Vinyl” and Emmy legend Alan Alda as a foul-mouthed bartender in “Horace and Pete,” which aired exclusively on creator Louis C.K.’s own website.
Below, see current odds for the Top 11 set by the experts’ picks. Make your predictions right here and compete against these experts and your friends.
BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR – Odds to win
1.) Peter Dinklage (“Game of Thrones”) – 1/10
2.) Christian Slater (“Mr. Robot”) – 23/10
3.) Jonathan Banks (“Better Call Saul”) – 3/1
4.) Alan Cumming (“The Good Wife”) – 9/2
5.) Jim Carter (“Downton Abbey”) – 5/1
6.) Michael McKean (“Better Call Saul”) – 13/2
7.) Michael Kelly (“House of Cards”) – 7/1
8.) Ray Romano (“Vinyl”) – 8/1
9.) Ben Mendelsohn (“Bloodline”) – 9/1
10.) Alan Alda (“Horace and Pete”) – 10/1
11.) Kit Harington (“Game of Thrones”) – 11/1
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