"'The Big Short' should be considered at this time to be the frontrunner to win Best Picture at the Oscars," says Adam Rock, Gold Derby's top scorer predicting the 2015 Producers Guild of America Awards. (See the full contest leaderboard right here.) Rock actually tied with three others — our editor Rob Licuria, Nick Chianese and Corbin — but had the best point total of 7,761 by using his 500 and 200 point bets wisely.
This reader hails from Toronto, Ontario, Canada where he works at an automotive plant while studying to become an accountant. He tells us, "If 'The Big Short' wins the SAG Ensemble award this Saturday, it shouldn't even matter what happens at DGA. Having support from the producers and actors branches would be enough for the movie to take down the other contenders. In my opinion, the Oscar race has always been between 'The Big Short' and 'Spotlight,' with 'The Revenant' in a distant third."
Rock correctly predicted all nine winners at the PGA Awards: "The Big Short" for Best Picture, "Inside Out" for Animated Feature, "Amy" for Documentary Feature, "Game of Thrones" for Drama Series, "Transparent" for Comedy Series, "Fargo" for Movie/Limited Series, "The Voice" for Reality-Competition Series, "Last Week Tonight with John Oliver" for Variety Series and "The Jinx" for Reality Series.
As for doing so well in his predictions, Rock says, "I just logged in my predictions early and was surprised to see at the time that 'The Big Short' only had 10/1 odds at winning. I thought 'The Big Short' was being highly underestimated as a potential winner here so I took a chance and it paid off."
"I went out on a limb with the John Oliver over Stephen Colbert prediction as well. With 'Colbert Report' being off the air for so long, and people (mostly producers) finally discovering Oliver's brilliance, I was confident about the upset in that category."
See Rock's Oscar predictions. They're full of many curious picks, including George Miller ("Mad Max: Fury Road") for Best Director and Alicia Vikander ("The Danish Girl") for Best Supporting Actress.
What do you think will win Best Picture? Make your Oscar predictions using the menu to the right or below.
Meet the guy who won our contest to predict the Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar.
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