Last year William H. Macy ("Shameless") pulled off a jawdropper at the SAG Awards by winning Best TV Comedy Actor. But now that awards magnet Jeffrey Tambor ("Transparent") is in the mix — he was strangely snubbed by SAG last year — our odds-makers expect this reigning Emmy and Critics' Choice champ to win by a landslide.
Our Top 24 Users, those two dozen folks who had the highest scores predicting last year's SAG winners, overwhelmingly favor Tambor to take home his very first career SAG trophy. A whopping 22 of them expect him to win, giving him leading 1/10 odds: Harley Diamond, TonyThomas, Draz, eastwest, Chels725, Bird, dosmax, FreemanGriffin, Eng Keat, SenanL, MovieMania, bondzzz, JonathanMasongsong, GermnArturoCortsMatus, SupaDupa Fly, Nika Litt, Noe, OberynShmartell, steo, Awardzilla, AayaanUpadhyaya and wienrdog0.
Last year there was a seven-way tie for best predictions at 87.50% (seven out of eight categories correct), with bondzzz reaping the highest point score of 11,756 because of his smart use of his 500 and 200 point bets, so it would be wise to heed his predictions.
However, not all of our Top 24 Users are in agreement. KingJay is predicting Macy to repeat in this category, giving him second-best odds of 20/1.
And smor forecasts a victory for Jim Parsons ("The Big Bang Theory"), resulting in third-place odds of 33/1. This would be Parsons' first-ever win at the SAG Awards, after three consecutive losses in this race.
None of our Top 24 are predicting victories for either 2013 champ Ty Burrell ("Modern Family"), who comes in fourth place with 50/1 odds, or Louis C.K. ("Louie"), who's our fifth-place pick with 80/1 odds.
Our Editors, we who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby, also forecast a unanimous victory for Tambor. All six of us say he'll win: Chris Beachum, Marcus James Dixon, Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery, Matt Noble and Paul Sheehan.
Who do you think will win at the SAG Awards? Make your predictions beginning with Best TV Comedy Actor to the right or at the bottom of this post.
You could win a $100 Amazon gift certificate, a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year's Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting the SAG winners). contest rules.