“I’ve got ‘Game of Thrones’ winning Best Drama Ensemble,” says Gold Derby senior editor Daniel Montgomery in our new SAG Awards nominations TV slugfest. “I think Maggie Smith‘s [snub] is the canary in the coal mine for ‘Downton Abbey,’ that maybe they’re just not that into it anymore.'” Daniel joins me, Chris Beachum and Zach Laws in debating all of this year’s TV surprises and snubs in our Screen Actors Guild predictions webchat. Watch our video slugfest above or listen to the audio podcast below.
In the race for Best Drama Ensemble, we’re leaning toward HBO’s “Game of Thrones” to finally prevail after losing out to PBS’s “Downton Abbey” in 2015 and 2016. Notes Chris, SAG voters almost always go for the biggest cast and the “GoT” ensemble is massive. But we also warn not to forget about the trio of new dramas in this category, each of which received three nominations: “The Crown,” “Stranger Things” and “Westworld.”
As for Best Comedy Ensemble, we’re torn on whether “Orange is the New Black” will take home its third straight trophy or if “Veep” can win its first. “They like repeats,” Zach reminds us about the SAG Awards’ penchant for rewarding the same shows and performers over and over again. But ultimately we think that “Orange” is vulnerable and could be bested by “Veep” or even SAG newcomer “Black-ish.” The other two nominees are “The Big Bang Theory” and “Modern Family.”
“Sarah Paulson has never won a SAG Award,” I mention at the start of our discussion of the two movie/mini races. Her performance in “The People v. O.J. Simpson” has already won the Emmy and Critics’ Choice Award, so it seems like a slam dunk that she’ll win her first SAG trophy. The corresponding Best Actor race is more of a head-scratcher, with “O.J.” players Courtney B. Vance and Sterling K. Brown battling against “The Night Of” twosome of Riz Ahmed and John Turturro and “All the Way” star Bryan Cranston.
Make your SAG picks and tell industry insiders which shows and performers you have out front to win on January 29. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before the show time. Be sure to make your predictions right here. You’ll compete for a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s nominees). Read our contest rules.
Audio podcast version: