Hey, Sylvester Stallone: Idris Elba winning SAG Award is good news for your Oscar odds

sylvester stallone creed idris elba wins sag award 2016 13579086

When Idris Elba ("Beasts of No Nation") won the SAG Award for Best Supporting Actor on Saturday night, you could hear Sylvester Stallone's mumbled sigh of relief all across Hollywood.

You see, the "Creed" star is the current Oscar frontrunner in this category, yet he was snubbed by the Screen Actors Guild. It would have been a worst-case scenario for Stallone if one of his Oscar rivals had won here as that would have given them much-needed awards momentum. That Mark Rylance ("Bridge of Spies") and Christian Bale ("The Big Short") both came up short at SAG is the best thing that could have happened for Stallone's Oscar chances.

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Although they led in our predictions, Rylance and Bale lost at SAG to Elba, whose shocking Oscar snub helped initiate the infamous #OscarsSoWhite hashtag. The other SAG nominees were Michael Shannon ("99 Homes") and Jacob Tremblay ("Room"), who are also MIA in the Oscar line-up. Tom Hardy ("The Revenant") and Mark Ruffalo ("Spotlight") replace them at the Oscars.

According to exclusive Oscar odds that are derived from the predictions made by Gold Derby's expert journalists, in-house staff editors and contest entrants like you, Stallone has leading 4/9 odds to take home his very first Oscar statue next month, following recent wins at the Critics' Choice and Golden Globes.

However, the Best Supporting Actor race is far from a foregone conclusion. On our Oscar predictions chart, Rylance is close behind in second place with 11/2 odds, followed by Ruffalo in third place with 14/1 odds, Bale in fourth place with 20/1 odds and Hardy in fifth place with 33/1 odds.

Thirty-nine years ago, Stallone lost Best Actor for the original "Rocky" (1976) film to Peter Finch ("Network"). He also lost Best Original Screenplay to "Network's" scribe Paddy Chayefsky. The consolation prize? "Rocky" won Best Picture, though Stallone didn't get to partake in that win since he wasn't a producer on the film. Has his time finally come?

See the complete list of Saturday's SAG winners right here, which also includes a win for Elba on the TV side for "Luther."

Leonardo DiCaprio ('The Revenant') wins 2016 SAG Award for Best Film Actor — Oscar next?

Who do you think will win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? Make all of your Oscar predictions beginning with that category using the menu to the right or below. 

You'll compete to win our contest prizes for best picks — $500 (first place), $300 (second place) and $200 (third place) in Amazon gift certificates — a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year's Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year's Oscar nominations). Be sure to read our contest rules.

"Creed" Photo Credit: The Moviestore Collection Ltd/REX Shutterstock
Elba/SAG Photo Credit: Michael Buckner/Variety/REX Shutterstock

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