With 1/3 odds from our 29 movie Experts, “Hacksaw Ridge” is predicted to win Best Sound Editing at Sunday’s Academy Awards. Its audio editing experts Robert Mackenzie and Andy Wright are also both nominated for Best Sound Mixing, and these are their first Oscar nominations. This duo is up for their efforts on Mel Gibson’s WWII drama which scored an additional five nominations including Best Picture at the 2017 Oscars airing on ABC hosted by Jimmy Kimmel.
Twenty-three of 29 Experts are predicting a “Hacksaw Ridge” victory: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Erik Davis (Fandango), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Tim Gray (Variety), Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo), Dave Karger (IMDb), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby) Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDb), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Indiewire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Adnan Virk (ESPN), Glenn Whipp (La Times) and Susan Wloszcyna (RogerEbert.com).
In a close second place is “La La Land” with 11/2 odds based on four Experts backing this modern-day musical: Eric Deggans (NPR), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Jack Matthews (Gold Derby) and Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere). Its sound editors are Ai-Ling Lee, also nominated for Best Sound Mixing, and Mildred Iatrou. Both are nominated for the first time.
Right on its heels in third place is “Arrival” with 11/1 odds; the two Experts picking the sci-fi film and its created alien language are Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes) and Tariq Khan (Fox News). Its sound editor is Sylvain Bellemare, who’s up for his first Oscar after recently winning the BAFTA Award (which was shared with sound mixers Bernard Gariepy Strobl and Claude La Haye).
Further back is “Deepwater Horizon” (Wylie Stateman and Renee Tondelli) about the real-life Gulf of Mexico oil rig explosion of 2010 with 66/1 odds. Stateman is a past eight-time nominee, and this is Tondelli’s first nomination. Both are looking for their first win.
In a distant fifth place is “Sully” (Alan Robert Murray and Bub Asman), which details the heroic plane landing on the Hudson River, with 100/1 odds. This duo has already won two Oscars together (“Letters from Iwo Jima,” “American Sniper”); they’re the film’s only nomination.
According to our overall combined odds featuring the predictions of all Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users (those who did the best at their winner picks last year), All-Star Top 24 (who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ Oscars) and All Users, the rankings are the same. The favored pick of over 2,100 people is “Hacksaw Ridge” with 1/3 odds (same as the Experts). “La La Land” is still in second place with slightly poorer 6/1 odds. “Arrival” remains in third place with 11/1 odds. “Deepwater Horizon” remains in fourth place with 66/1 odds, and following with slightly better odds is “Sully” with 80/1 odds.
The best odds are those of the Oscar viewers because chances are we’ll get to see first-time winners take the stage in this contest. The silver lining for the first-time nominees who won’t get to accept this award is that Sound Editing contenders typically receive additional nominations throughout their careers, so they’ll possibly have another chance at Oscar glory.
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films are faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before winners are announced on February 26 at 5:00 pm PT/8:00 pm ET. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.