“Typically SAG Awards come in two. That’s usually the pattern,” I explain to fellow contributors Marcus James Dixon, Ralph Galvan and Daniel Montgomery during our recent slugfest (watch above) where we dish the upcoming 2017 SAG TV Awards. I add, “So we’ll see someone like Jeffrey Tambor (‘Transparent’) win his second, but on the Drama side Kevin Spacey (‘House of Cards’) is not going to repeat; no one in that category has ever won three in a row.”
As the conversation turns toward the Best Drama Actress category, Ralph is predicting Millie Bobby Brown (“Stranger Things”) to win, explaining, “At the Screen Actors Guild it’s not about what’s the most respected but what’s the most popular. We’re talking about 22,000 people and it’s so enticing to give her that award.”
When discussing Best Drama Ensemble, we as a group were all over the place. Daniel explains, “I’m going with ‘Game of Thrones.’ It’s been the ugly step-child at the SAG Awards for a while and it’s been winning so many Emmys. With ‘Downton Abbey’ off the air it’s last year’s news.” He goes on to remind us, “The one time Alec Baldwin (’30 Rock’) finally lost was the year the show was off the air.” Ralph is backing “Stranger Things,” Daniel and myself think it will be “Game of Thrones,” and Marcus is predicting “Downton Abbey.”
The conversation turns to Best Comedy Actor where Marcus points out, “Since Alec Baldwin won this seven years in a row we’ve had a new winner each year. They may be done with sweeps.” We as a group discuss whether Tambor is at a disadvantage since his show is now snubbed for Ensemble.
We also believe that Sarah Paulson (“The People v. O.J. Simpson”) is a lock for Best Movie/Mini Actress, but agree that Best Movie/Mini Actress is a three-way race. Bryan Cranston (“All the Way”) is a strong possibility if “The People v. O.J. Simpson” guys Courtney B. Vance and Sterling K. Brown end up splitting the vote.
Make your SAG picks and tell industry insiders which shows, films and performers you have out front to win on January 29. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before the show time. Be sure to make your predictions right here. You’ll compete for a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s nominees). Read our contest rules.