Just hours before Tony Awards nomination are announced on May 2, Gold Derby’s in-house trio of theater pundits — David Buchanan, Paul Sheehan and myself – got together online to debate our predictions for the top categories (watch us slug it out above).
Unlike last year, when mega-hit “Hamilton” was poised to sweep, this Broadway season offers many quality productions aiming for the top honors. We agree that there are three locks for Best Musical: “Come From Away,” Dear Evan Hansen,” and “Natasha, Pierre, and the Great Comet of 1812.” The fourth slot is up for grabs, but both David and I predict “Groundhog Day” will take it.
Though “Hello, Dolly!” is bound to take Musical Revival in June, Paul wonders aloud if the actors are sure things. Citing Bette Midler’s previous snub for the solo show “I’ll Eat You Last: A Chat With Sue Mengers,” Paul asks “could you see Bette Midler’s name not being on the list Tuesday morning?” Neither David or I could fathom a snub for the Divine Miss M, but determining who will compete alongside her is another story.
We agree that Patti LuPone and Christine Ebersole will enter the diva battle for Best Actress, despite my wacky theory that they could be snubbed in favor of up and comers, a la Audra McDonald last year (“I think about these things too much”). Those younger actresses competing for the remaining slots include Christy Altomare, Denee Benton, Eva Noblezada, and Laura Osnes. Your guess is as good as ours as to which two make the cut.
When the talk shifts to plays, we agree that four are out front in the Best Play category: “A Doll’s House Part 2,” “Indecent,” “Sweat,” and “Oslo.” “I think legitimately any of the four could win” argues David. In the event of a tie, could a fifth show crash the party? I argue for Joshua Harmon’s “Significant Other” while David favors Simon Stephen’s “Heisenberg.”
Watch the video above to hear our complete rundown, including our desperate scramble to figure out which actors fill the competitive Featured races. We will find out how right, or wrong, we are on Tuesday.
Be sure to make your Tony Awards predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Broadway insiders can see how their shows and performers are faring in our Tony odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on May 2. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Tony Awards taking place right now in our theater forums.