2018 Grammy predictions update: Experts agree that Ed Sheeran (‘Shape of You’) will win Record of the Year

The 2018 Grammy nominations will be announced in less than a week on Tuesday, November 28. As that day approaches our Experts have been weighing in, and they agree with the growing consensus that Ed Sheeran will win Record of the Year for his blockbuster hit single “Shape of You.” At least, most of them agree with that consensus.

As of this writing four out of the six Expert journalists we’ve polled think Sheeran is the man to beat: Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Edna Gundersen (Gold Derby), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), and Adnan Virk (ESPN). This would be Sheeran’s first victory in the category and his second nomination, following a bid for “Thinking Out Loud” in 2016. He might have even come close to winning that year since “Thinking Out Loud” did win him the award for Song of the Year, the top songwriters’ prize. Sheeran has proven popular elsewhere in the general field, picking up previous bids for Best New Artist (2014) and Album of the Year (“X,” 2015), so an established favorite might be the smart bet here.

But one Expert, Glenn Gamboa (Newsday) is predicting “Humble” by Kendrick Lamar, who just swept the MTV Video Music Awards for that song in August. But of course the VMAs are decided by fans while the Grammys are decided by the industry insiders in the recording academy, who have been notoriously skittish around rap and hip-hop music. Can Lamar reverse that trend?

Our last Expert, Lyndsey Parker (Yahoo Music), is going out on a limb for Kesha‘s “Praying.” That may not be such a bad bet since it may especially resonate with voters this year. The song is thought by many to be a response to Dr. Luke, her former producer whom she has been in a legal battle with over allegations that he sexually assaulted her. In the post-Harvey Weinstein era it could be an even more powerful statement.

Nevertheless, “Shape of You” has the lead with our Experts, and when their predictions are combined with over 1,000 other users at Gold Derby Sheeran leads the race with odds of 21/10. Do you agree with them that Sheeran is out front? Are we underestimating Lamar, Kesha, or any of their other rivals?

Be sure to make your Grammy nomination predictions so that Hollywood record executives and top name stars can see how their songs and albums are faring in our Grammy odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on November 28. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Grammys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our music forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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