Which overdue actress do you think will get to Oscar first: Amy Adams or Jessica Chastain? That’s the question longtime forum poster Boidiva02 is posing in our message boards. Adams has been nominated five times and is likely to be nominated a sixth time this year for “Arrival.” Chastain has been nominated just twice, but she has made a habit of appearing in multiple awards contenders in any given year.
“Looking at these stats,” Boidiva says, “Adams would clearly be considered overdue for a win considering the level of work she’s done; but we can’t overlook the volume of work that Chastain has done in a short time frame, including appearing in over 20 films since 2011.”
Though Adams is expected to be nominated this year, she’s not considered likely to win according to our latest racetrack odds. If so that would be her sixth nomination without a victory, which would tie the ignoble record held by Glenn Close, Deborah Kerr and Thelma Ritter, who also contended six times without winning. But Adams should take heart either way: Al Pacino and Geraldine Page didn’t win until their eighth tries.
But it only takes the right role and the right timing to get to the winner’s circle. Read some of our forum posters’ comments below, vote in our poll at the bottom of this post and join the discussion here.
Joe Burns: “Definitely Adams. Chastain has been repeatedly snubbed in recent years, but that’s only because all of the films she has been in recently have failed to garner any Oscar traction. Adams has had the opposite scenario happen to her and has starred in more popular commercial films that make her more or less a household name. Another important reason for this is that Amy was getting nominations six years before Chastain was, already having three of them by Chastain’s first nomination. Chastain’s only been nominated twice — in my eyes, that doesn’t equal overdue, especially if you compare it to Adam’s record.”
Roney Moore: “I will say that Chastain seems like an actress that has more potential to give the type of performance that they tend to award as opposed to Adams who is more comfortable with internal roles. But who knows, really, as everyone knows it only depends on one role. I guess we could say that if they star in similarly acclaimed films playing similarly baity parts in the same year, Adams would have the edge since she’s more likable and more familiar to them.”
Bee: “They like Adams more but she’s never given a performance they would typically award since most of her nominations are more internally conflicted and based on her facial expressions rather than screaming or crying profusely. Chastain almost won hers. So it all depends on what role they’d get, but I would bet Adams because she has more success.”
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