Claire Foy (“The Crown”) won the SAG Award. She won the Golden Globe. Will she win the Emmy next? Many of our Emmy experts seemed confident that Foy would win for her role as young Queen Elizabeth II on Netflix’s regal drama, which should be like catnip to TV academy, but then came along Hulu’s “The Handmaid’s Tale” to shake up the competition with its leading lady Elisabeth Moss. Who might take the Emmy crown now?
As of this writing we’ve polled 16 TV journalists from top media outlets for their early Emmy picks, and 10 of them predict a victory for Foy as Best Drama Actress: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Eric Deggans (NPR), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Adnan Virk (ESPN)
But five Emmy experts are banking on a victory for Moss for her role of a handmaid named Offred who tries to survive in the male-dominated totalitarian regime of Gilead. They are: Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly), Ken Tucker (Yahoo), Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed). This would be Moss’s eighth career Emmy nomination after seven bids for “Mad Men” and another for “Top of the Lake,” which just released its second-season teaser.
One lone outlier — Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes) — goes rogue in predicting that Keri Russell will win for her long-running character of Elizabeth Jennings on FX’s Russian spy drama “The Americans.” If Emmy voters fall even harder for “The Americans” this year, we could see a situation where Russell finally wins her first trophy after years of being snubbed.
None of our experts are currently predicting a victory for any other Best Drama Actress hopefuls, but 12 out of 16 believe that Evan Rachel Wood, who plays robot Dolores Abernathy on “Westworld,” will earn her second career Emmy nomination following “Mildred Pierce” (2011).
Viola Davis (“How to Get Away with Murder”) is a recent Oscar champ for “Fences,” and now 10 of our TV experts think she’ll be back in the Emmy race for the third year in a row after prevailing in this category in 2015. She portrays savvy lawyer Annalise Keating on the ABC drama.
With the support of nine Emmy seers, Christine Baranski is next in line for her role as attorney Diane Lockhart on CBS All Access’s “The Good Fight.” A spinoff of “The Good Wife,” Baranski’s role has increased so she’ll be competing in the lead category this year. Will she earn an Emmy bookend to her “Cybill” victory from 1995?
While the new season of “House of Cards” has yet to stream on Netflix, six experts still predict that Robin Wright will earn her fifth consecutive nomination for her role as First Lady-turned-Vice President Claire Underwood on the political thriller.
NBC’s breakout hit “This Is Us” will earn a Best Drama Actress nomination for Mandy Moore, say five of our prognosticators. The singer/actress has the benefit of playing family matriarch Rebecca Pearson in both of the show’s timelines, so voters get to see two vastly different performances.
Rounding out the Top 10 contenders, both Carrie Coon (“The Leftovers”) and Claire Danes (“Homeland”) have two journalists predicting them for Emmy nominations. It would be Coon’s first career bid after winning at the Critics’ Choice Awards last year as Nora Durst on HBO’s departing cult hit, while Danes is an Emmy fave who’s hoping to take home her third trophy for playing Carrie Mathison on Showtime’s CIA drama.
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on July 13. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums.