‘Dancing with the Stars’ recap: Now we know how far they’ll go on ‘Disney Night’

“Disney Night” was unpredictable on “Dancing with the Stars.” Who, for instance, would have guessed that “Bachelor” star Nick Viall would score higher than football player Rashad Jennings, who has proven himself to be a credible contender for the Mirror Ball Trophy? Gold Derby’s racetrack odds were hit-and-miss throughout the evening, but we did predict how the night ended. Sadly, “Real Housewives” star Erika Jayne was sent home in ninth place despite receiving her best scores of the season.

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Jayne performed a Viennese waltz to “Unforgettable” from “Finding Dory,” which showed a poised and elegant side to the star who had thus far been uncompromising about being sassy and provocative. She received straight 8s from the judging panel for a total of 32 out of 40, which was more than enough to keep her out of the bottom of the leaderboard, though it was too late to keep her in the competition for another week.

Our users thought Jayne would get the low score (5/6 odds) in addition to being eliminated, followed by Viall (27/10 odds), who as mentioned above scored better than we anticipated. That left us with a surprise at the bottom: baseball player David Ross, who scored three 7s and an 8 for his jive to “Ride” from “Cars 3” for a total of 29. This was Ross’s first time finishing at the bottom, so it’s no wonder that only four of our users saw that coming, which gave him 12/1 odds, or a mere 7% chance of getting the lowest score.

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We were also surprised by the highest-scoring contestant of the night. We thought gymnast Simone Biles would return to the top after finishing second last week on “Most Memorable Year” night; we gave her 6/5 odds (45% chance). But instead singer Normani Kordei rose above the fray with a dynamite paso doble to “I’ll Make a Man Out of You” from “Mulan” and scored a 9 and three perfect 10s. Not only does that tie Jennings’s “Most Memorable” contemporary routine as the highest scoring dance of the season so far, it also gave Kordei her third high score of the season so far. We gave Kordei 10/3 odds of reclaiming the top of the leaderboard, which translated to a 21% chance.

We also missed how many perfect 10s the judges would give out — but just barely. Most of our users anticipated that there would be between one and four perfect scores (4/7 odds, 60% chance), but this week the competitors eked out five perfect scores, so those users who bet on between five and nine perfect 10s had the right idea (23/10 odds, 34% chance).

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In our weekly predictions contest, no one scored 100%, but four users tied with 75% by correctly answering three out of four prediction questions: who would get the high score (Kordei), who would get the low score (Ross), who would be eliminated (Jayne), and how many 10s the judges would give out (5 to 9). Those users were Youtuber 101, Cordell Martin, brima531 and MaksimCFans.

Check out the top 10 users in our predictions chart below. Click on the chart to see the complete predictions leaderboard so you can find out how well you did.

dancing with the stars week 5 predictions leaderbaord
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What did you think of “Disney Night” on “Dancing with the Stars”? Next week will be team dances in which the remaining eight couples will split into teams of four to perform routines inspired by boy bands and girl bands. You can already make your predictions for next week here. You get to answer the following questions before each episode airs on ABC every Monday at 5 p.m. PT / 8 p.m. ET.:

Who will win “Dancing with the Stars”?

Who will be eliminated?

Who will get the HIGHEST judges’ score?

Who will get the LOWEST judges’ score?

How many 10s will the judges give out?

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Before you make your predictions, make sure to consult the judges’ scores from tonight’s episode, which along with viewer votes will determine who if anyone is sent home next week:

Normani Kordei — 39
Simone Biles — 38
Nancy Kerrigan — 36
Heather Morris — 34
Nick Viall — 34
Erika Jayne — 32 (ELIMINATED)
Rashad Jennings — 32
Bonner Bolton — 30
David Ross — 29

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