“Dancing with the Stars” premieres its 24th season tonight, March 20, and while there is already rampant speculation about who has the best odds of winning, we’re also wondering who might be the unlucky celebrity sent home first. More than a hundred of our readers have made their season premiere predictions in the hopes of winning a $100 Amazon gift certificate. There’s still time to make or edit your predictions before tonight’s show.
It’s often the case that the first week of competition is a non-elimination round, with the season premiere scores added to subsequent viewer votes to determine who will be sent home in week two. That’s what we’re predicting tonight: the odds are 8/11 that there will be no elimination this week, which translates to a 58% chance of safety for all 12 contestants. But if there is an elimination our users are betting on “Saturday Night Live” comedian Chris Kattan, who gets 9/2 odds of exiting the show immediately. Comedians don’t have the strongest track record on “DWTS,” and Kattan doesn’t have a known dance background, so he’ll have to pull out all the stops right away to establish himself as a contender.
Actor and former professional wrestler Mr. T is next with 14/1 odds of being sent home. At age 64 he’s the oldest man in the competition, and older celebs rarely go all the way. In fact, the oldest winner in “DWTS” history was Donny Osmond, who was 52 when he won season nine in 2009 — more than a decade younger than Mr. T is now. Age also works against Spanish actress and musician Charo, who is third in line for elimination with 20/1 odds; she just turned 66 last week.
Our users are split several ways after that. “Real Housewives” star Erika Jayne and “Bachelor” star Nick Viall both get 22/1 odds of exiting, while baseball player David Ross gets 40/1 odds and bull rider Bonner Bolton gets 80/1 odds. Below, check out our latest predictions for who will be eliminated in the season premiere of “Dancing with the Stars.” Click on the chart for more detailed stats:
Gold Derby readers just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. You can continue to update and change your forecasts throughout the week, just click “Save” when you’ve settled on your choices. You’ll compete to win a $100 Amazon gift certificate, bragging rights and a place of honor on our leaderboard. Our racetrack odds change as you make your predictions, just as they do when you bet on the Emmys, Oscars, Golden Globes and more. Be sure to read our contest rules and sound off on the season of “Dancing with the Stars” in our reality TV forum.