As of this writing we’ve polled 18 TV journalists from top media outlets for their Emmy picks. While they don’t agree as to what show will win Best Drama Series, all of them are predicting that this top award will go to a first-year show. Ten of them are going with the Netflix historical drama “The Crown,” four favor NBC’s family saga “This Is Us,” three say Hulu’s dystopic drama “The Handmaid’s Tale” and one likes the look of Netflix’s 80s tribute “Stranger Things.”
Among the freshman entries to win Best Drama Series at the Emmys were: “The Defenders” (1961), “Mission: Impossible” (1966), “Marcus Welby, M.D.” (1970), “The Waltons” (1973), “Hill Street Blues” (1981), “L.A. Law” (1987), “thirtysomething” (1988), “Picket Fences” (1993), “The West Wing” (2000), “Lost” (2005), “Mad Men” (2008) and “Homeland” (2012).
The majority of experts are predicting that “The Crown,” which chronicles the early years of the reign of Elizabeth II, will prevail. It won Best Drama Series at the Golden Globes and these 10 pundits say it will do the same at the Emmys: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Pete Hammond (Deadline), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly, Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (IndieWire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Adnan Virk (ESPN).
Four experts expect “This Is Us” to be the first broadcast drama series to win since “24” did back in 2006. Those buoyed by the boffo ratings for this multi-generational family drama are: Eric Deggans (NPR), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Robert Rorke (New York Post) and Ken Tucker (Yahoo). It is currently predicted to win Best Drama Actor for Sterling K. Brown and Drama Supporting Actress for Chrissy Metz.
“The Handmaid’s Tale” is based on the award-winning book by Margaret Atwood and showcases Emmy favorite Elisabeth Moss as a working class woman forced to bear a children for a rich couple. The three pundits picking it to prevail are: Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes), Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed).
Although “Stranger Things” won both Best Drama Series from the PGA and Best Drama Ensemble at the SAG Awards, only one expert — Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life) — is predicting that this sci-fi series set in the 1980s will add an Emmy to its collection.
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on July 13. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.