Our Emmy experts have started to pipe in with their predictions in top categories. Those experts are drawn from some of the country’s most influential media outlets, and by a wide margin those savvy journalists are betting on Donald Glover to win Best Comedy Actor for “Atlanta.”
As of this writing, 14 experts have entered their picks at Gold Derby, and a whopping 13 of them are backing Glover for the win: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Eric Deggans (NPR), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Ken Tucker (Yahoo), Adnan Virk (ESPN) and Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times).
“Atlanta” premiered last fall to rapturous reviews, and during the winter awards season it received abundant support from the industry. Glover won two Golden Globes, two Writers Guild Awards, the Producers Guild Award for Best Comedy Series and a Directors Guild nomination. So there’s every reason to expect the industry insiders in the TV academy to follow suit. This would be the first Emmy bid for Glover. He previously co-starred in NBC’s cult hit series “Community,” which was also a favorite of critics but struggled to get the attention of Emmy voters.
One expert, Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), is sticking with defending Emmy champion Jeffrey Tambor (“Transparent”), who has claimed Best Comedy Actor for the last two years in a row. Can he three-peat? It’s not uncommon for the TV academy to award this category three times to the same performer, though it should be noted that no one has strung together three consecutive victories since Michael J. Fox in “Family Ties” (1986-1988).
None of the experts are currently predicting Anthony Anderson (“Black-ish”) to prevail, but almost all of them (13 out of 14) are predicting that he’ll be nominated for the third straight year, and four of them place him in their runner-up slot, so don’t count him out. Over the course of its three seasons “Black-ish” has been steadily gaining awards momentum, so if the show has another surge in Emmy nominations this year, watch out.
Aziz Ansari (“Master of None”) also has 13 experts betting on him to be nominated. He contended last year as an actor, writer, director and producer of his Netflix comedy in its freshman year, and he won the writing award. Now he’s looking for his first acting win.
After three seasons of “Silicon Valley” Thomas Middleditch finally made the cut in this race last year, and now nine experts are forecasting his return to the lineup. He’s followed by William H. Macy (“Shameless”) with seven experts betting on him to receive his fourth straight nomination. Macy is an Emmy favorite with two wins out of 12 nominations, but he has yet to prevail for this role.
Hank Azaria stars in the new IFC series “Brockmire,” and six experts are predicting that he’ll break through. History has shown it’s foolish to underestimate Azaria, who has won six Emmys including last year’s upset victory for Best Drama Guest Actor for “Ray Donovan.” Two experts think another past Emmy darling, Ted Danson (“The Good Place”), will get in and for good reason: he was nominated in this category 11 times and won twice for another NBC sitcom, “Cheers.”
In this highly competitive race, six more actors are predicted for a nomination by one expert apiece: Patrick Stewart (“Blunt Talk”), Chris Geere (“You’re the Worst”), Billy Eichner (“Difficult People”), Nick Nolte (“Graves”), Neil Patrick Harris (“A Series of Unfortunate Events”) and Greg Poehler (“You Me Her”).
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on July 13. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums.