Emmy predictions 2017: Alec Baldwin gets 11-to-5 odds of winning Best Comedy Supporting Actor

According to Gold Derby’s early 2017 Emmy predictions for Best Comedy Supporting Actor, Alec Baldwin (“Saturday Night Live”) is going to win his first Emmy for playing our illustrious commander-in-chief Donald Trump on NBC’s long-running sketch comedy series. Baldwin first appeared as Trump last fall to satirize the election campaign, but his guest appearances continued into the winter and spring after Trump won the presidency and moved into the White House. Overall this would be the 17th Emmy bid for Baldwin, who previously won Best Comedy Actor twice for “30 Rock” (2008-2009). See more contenders below and then be sure to make or update your Emmy predictions before the nominations are announced July 13.

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Baldwin leads the Best Comedy Supporting Actor race with overall odds of 11/5 based on Gold Derby’s racetrack odds that combine the predictions of our website Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who did the best at predicting last year’s noms, the All-Star Users who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ nominations, and everyday Users like you. Soon, we’ll also feature the predictions of Emmy Experts from major media outlets, but they haven’t piped in quite yet.

Tony Hale (“Veep”) is in second place with 10/3 odds. He has won this category twice before (2013, 2015) out of four previous nominations for his role as Gary Walsh, personal aide to Selina Meyer (Julia Louis-Dreyfus).

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Despite the fact that he’s the defending champion, Louie Anderson (“Baskets”) ranks third with 10/3 odds for his gender-bent performance as Zach Galifianakis‘s mother Christine Baskets. That was his first nomination and first win at the Primetime Emmys, though he previously won two Daytime Emmys for Best Performer in an Animated Program for “Life with Louie” (1997-1998). And “Baskets” also won him a 2016 Critics’ Choice Award for Best Comedy Supporting Actor.

Next up with odds of 7/2 is Tituss Burgess (“Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”), who plays aspiring New York actor Titus Andromedon in the Netflix comedy. He’s been nominated in this category for the last two years in a row, but he has yet to win. However, he did just pick up his first SAG nomination for Best Comedy Actor this past year. That category is much more competitive since it includes both supporting and lead performers, so perhaps it indicates even more industry support for Burgess going into this year’s Emmys.

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Perennial TV academy favorite Ty Burrell (“Modern Family”) ranks fifth with 9/2 odds for playing lovable father and husband Phil Dunphy. He’s been nominated every year since 2010 — seven times in a row. He’s the only “Modern Family” cast member to have been nominated every year of the series so far, and he has won twice (2011, 2014). But “Modern Family” as a whole has lost ground in recent years, and last year the show came away empty-handed for the first time in its history.

Rounding out our top six predicted nominees is Andre Braugher (“Brooklyn Nine-Nine”) for her role as NYPD Captain Ray Holt. He gets 6/1 odds. He’s been nominated for the last three years in a row for this performance, which brings his career total to 10 Emmy nominations. But he’s primarily known for his work as a dramatic actor. He won Best Drama Actor in 1998 for “Homicide: Life on the Street,” and then he won Best Movie/Mini Actor in 2006 for another dark turn in the crime drama “Thief.”

Predict the Emmy nominees now; change them until July 13

Following those six contenders on our Best Comedy Supporting Actor chart are Matt Walsh (“Veep”) in seventh place with 13/2 odds, Brian Tyree Henry (“Atlanta”) in eighth place with 12/1 odds, Jay Duplass (“Transparent”) in ninth place with 16/1 odds and Timothy Simons (“Veep”) in 10th place with 16/1 odds.

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on July 13. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums.

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