Emmy Experts are split: Can Samantha Bee put the brakes on James Corden’s ‘Carpool Karaoke’ for Variety Special?

In 2016 James Corden‘s “Carpool Karaoke Primetime Special” won the Emmy for Best Variety Special in an upset against heavyweight entertainers Beyonce, Adele, and Amy Schumer, not to mention the “Kennedy Center Honors,” which is usually an Emmy favorite. Now Corden is back with another edition of “Carpool Karaoke,” but other talk show hosts have followed suit with their own standalone specials. Will one of them keep him from repeating? Maybe, according to our Experts, but maybe not.

As of this writing we’ve polled seven TV journalists from top media outlets for their picks in this category, and three of them are predicting “Carpool Karaoke”: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Anne Thompson (IndieWire), and Ken Tucker (Yahoo).

Corden’s “The Late Late Show” is nominated for four total awards this year: two for the late night series (Variety Talk Series and Interactive Program) and two for the “Carpool Karaoke” special (Variety Special and Technical Direction). Last year Corden won both Interactive Program and Variety Special, so he’s in a position to repeat not once, but twice.

But three other Experts predict the award will go to “Full Frontal with Samantha Bee Presents Not the White House Correspondents’ Dinner”: Eric Deggans (NPR), Joyce Eng (TV Guide) and Adnan Virk (ESPN).

“Full Frontal” had a big Emmy breakthrough this year. After earning just a Variety Series Writing nomination in 2016 the show returned with additional bids for Variety Talk Series, Interactive Program and four for “Not the Correspondents’ Dinner,” which might have an advantage over “Carpool Karaoke” in that it’s also up for Variety Special Writing and Variety Special Directing, indicating broad academy support

Robert Rorke (New York Post) is the only Expert currently predicting a win for the Netflix comedy special “Louis C.K.: 2017,” but for good reason. The special is up for Variety Special and Variety Special Writing, which are the 38th and 39th nominations for Louis C.K. in less than 20 years. That’s an astounding total, which includes various nominations for acting, writing, directing, editing and producing. And he’s won six times, though only in writing categories. But he’s undoubtedly one of the Emmys’ favorite entertainers.

So which of our Experts are right? Or are they all underestimating the two remaining nominees: “Sarah Silverman: A Speck of Dust” and “Stephen Colbert’s Live Election Night Democracy’s Series Finale: Who’s Going To Clean Up This Sh*t ?”

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on September 17. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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