Emmy experts predict Drama Supporting Actor: Jonathan Banks (‘Better Call Saul’) could finally prevail as Mike Ehrmantraut

While most of Gold Derby’s Emmy experts are convinced that John Lithgow (“The Crown”) will win Best Drama Supporting Actor, they also warn to watch out for Jonathan Banks (“Better Call Saul”). As hired gun Mike Ehrmantraut on “Better Call Saul,” Banks is already in the Emmy record book for being nominated in this category for three different series: “Better Call Saul” as Mike (2015 and 2016), “Breaking Bad” also as Mike (2013), and “Wiseguy” as Frank McPike (1989). Can Banks finally prevail this year?

As of this writing we’ve polled 19 TV journalists from top media outlets and all 19 think Banks will be nominated again. While none are currently forecasting that he’ll triumph on Emmy night, that could change soon as our experts are constantly updating their predictions at Gold Derby. Banks comes in second place in our experts’ Best Drama Supporting Actor rankings, behind only Lithgow.

A whopping 15 of our prognosticators predict that Lithgow will prevail for his role as Prime Minister Winston Churchill on Netflix’s regal drama. They are: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Eric Deggans (NPR), Lynn Elber (Associated Press), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Pete Hammond (Deadline), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (Indiewire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Ken Tucker (Yahoo) and Adnan Virk (ESPN). Lithgow is already a five-time champ for “Amazing Stories” (1986), “3rd Rock From the Sun” (1996, 1997, 1999) and “Dexter” (2010).

Two of our Emmy gurus are betting on an upset victory for Ron Cephas Jones (“This Is Us”): Robert Rorke (New York Post) and Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times). NBC’s family drama “This Is Us” was the breakout hit of the season, with Jones playing the cancer-stricken biological father of Sterling K. Brown‘s Randall. This would be Jones’ first awards notice after decades working in film and television.

The remaining two pundits — Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly) and Jarett Wieselman (Buzzfeed) — forecast that Ed Harris (“Westworld”) will prevail. The film star has a pair of Emmy nominations on his resume for “Empire Falls” (2005) and “Game Change” (2012), but this would be his first bid for a regular TV series gig. Harris plays the mysterious Man in Black on HBO’s “Westworld,” whose true identity was revealed in the season finale.

None of our Emmy seers are currently predicting a victory for any other Best Drama Supporting Actor hopefuls, but 16 believe that Harris’ co-star Jeffrey Wright (“Westworld”) will earn a nomination. Wright takes on the fan favorite character of Bernard, who has more than one jawdropping moment in Season 1. Wright prevailed at the Emmys and Golden Globes for his supporting turn in “Angels in America” (2003), so he’s clearly an industry favorite.

Ten Emmy journalists have Michael Kelly getting nominated once again for his role as White House chief of staff Doug Stamper on Netflix’s “House of Cards.” The new season debuted right at the end of the Emmy eligibility period, which should help put the two-time nominee (2015, 2016) top of mind during the current balloting process.

Oscar winner Jon Voight (“Coming Home”) is predicted to return to the Emmy race by eight experts. The four-time also-ran (“Uprising” in 2002, “Pope John Paul II” in 2006, “Ray Donovan” in 2014 and 2016) hopes to have better luck this time around for the Showtime drama, where he takes on the role of the title character’s father Mickey Donovan.

Jared Harris (“The Crown”), though technically a guest star, must compete in the supporting race because he appeared in too many episodes to quality for the guest category. He plays King George VI, father to Claire Foy‘s Elizabeth II, and five Emmy pundits predict he’ll earn a second career nomination after his 2012 bid for “Mad Men.”

Rounding out the potential nominees, a trio of men have the support of two experts apiece: David Harbour (“Stranger Things”), Michael McKean (“Better Call Saul”) and Frank Langella (“The Americans”). While Harbour and McKean are looking for their first Emmy notices, Langella is a Hollywood veteran with a Best Actor Oscar nomination for “Frost/Nixon” (2008) and an Emmy bid for “I, Leonardo: A Journey of the Mind” (1983).

Predict the Emmy nominees now; change them until July 13

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on July 13. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

Sign up for Gold Derby’s newsletter with experts’ latest predictions

More News from GoldDerby

Loading