With 5/6 odds from our seven TV Experts, Billy Bob Thornton (“Goliath”) is projected to win Best TV Drama Actor at Sunday’s Golden Globes. In the freshman Amazon series Thornton plays Billy McBride, an ambulance-chasing lawyer looking for redemption. Four of our Experts are predicting the Thornton victory: Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly) and Ken Tucker (Yahoo). It would be Thornton’s second career win, following his victory in 2015 for the anthology series “Fargo.”
In second place is Rami Malek (“Mr. Robot”) with 7/5 odds. The three Experts picking him to win are Tariq Khan (Fox News), Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly) and Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby). Malek plays Elliot Alderson, a mentally unstable hacker looking to take a down a corrupt corporation. He was nominated in this category last year, when “Mr. Robot” won Best Drama Series; this year he’s back in the running but his show was left out of the top category.
However, according to our overall combined odds featuring the predictions of all Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users (those who did the best at their winner picks last year), and all Users, the top choice is Malek with 5/6 odds based on the support of more than 900 people making their predictions. Thornton is second with 9/5 odds. We then have Rhys at 18/1, Odenkirk at 40/1, and Schreiber at 50/1.
Thornton is the only nominee from a new series, which is often an advantage at the Globes, which typically love to reward breakout shows, though not lately in this category. The last winner of Best TV Drama Actor from a freshman series was Kelsey Grammer for “Boss” in 2012. So perhaps that’s good news for Malek or Odenkirk, who contend for the second time, or Schreiber, who has been nominated four years in a row. Rhys is the only one of these five who has never been nominated at the Globes before, and “The Americans” had an acclaimed fourth season last spring, so perhaps voters will consider him due.
Make your Golden Globes Awards picks now and tell industry insiders which shows and performers you have out front to win on January 8. You can keep changing them until just before show time. Be sure to make your predictions right here. You’ll compete for a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s nominees). Read our contest rules.