With 1/4 odds from our 16 movie Experts, Mahershala Ali (“Moonlight”) is predicted to win Best Film Supporting Actor at Sunday’s Golden Globes. He plays Juan, a Miami drug dealer who becomes a father figure for a boy coming to terms with his sexuality. The film has five other nominations including Best Film Drama at the 2017 Golden Globe Awards airing live Sunday on NBC and hosted by Jimmy Fallon.
Fourteen of our 16 Experts are predicting an Ali victory: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).
In second place is Dev Patel (“Lion”) with 11/1 odds; the one Expert picking him to win is Tariq Khan (Fox News). In this biographical drama, Patel plays Saroo Brierley, who became lost as a child in India and was adopted by an Australian family before searching for his long lost home as an adult; the film has three other nominations including Best Film Drama.
Jeff Bridges (“Hell or High Water”) also has 11/1 odds based on support from one Expert: Kevin Polowy (Yahoo). Bridges, a previous Globe winner for “Crazy Heart” (2009), plays Marcus Hamilton, a West Texas cop on the trail of a pair of bank robbers. The film has two other nominations including Best Film Drama.
According to our overall combined odds featuring the predictions of all Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users (those who did the best at their winner picks last year), and All Users, the rankings are the same. The favored pick of over 1,500 people is Ali with even stronger 2/11 odds over Patel with 14/1 odds. Bridges follows with 16/1 odds, and then Taylor-Johnson at 66/1 and Helberg at 80/1.
Winning this award from the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. is of great significance when it comes to forecasting the upcoming Oscars. During the 21st century every winner has gone on to at least be nominated at the Academy Awards for Best Supporting Actor. And a whopping 13 out of 16 won at the Oscars after claiming the Globe: Benicio Del Toro (“Traffic,” 2000), Jim Broadbent (“Iris,” 2001), Chris Cooper (“Adaptation,” 2002), Tim Robbins (“Mystic River,” 2003), George Clooney (“Syriana,” 2005), Javier Bardem (“No Country for Old Men,” 2007), Heath Ledger (“The Dark Knight,” 2008), Christoph Waltz (“Inglourious Basterds,” 2009), Christian Bale (“The Fighter,” 2010), Christopher Plummer (“Beginners,” 2011), Christoph Waltz (“Django Unchained,” 2012), Jared Leto (“Dallas Buyers Club,” 2013) and J.K. Simmons (“Whiplash,” 2014).
Make your Golden Globes Awards picks now and tell industry insiders which films and performers you have out front to win on January 8. You can keep changing them until just before show time. Be sure to make your predictions right here. You’ll compete for a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s nominees). Read our contest rules.