With leading 1/5 odds from our 19 film Experts, Natalie Portman (“Jackie”) is predicted to win Best Film Drama Actress at Sunday’s 2017 Golden Globes. The two-time champion for “Closer” (2004) and “Black Swan” (2010) is back in the running for starring as First Lady Jackie Kennedy following the aftermath of her husband’s assassination. Her nomination is the sole bid for the film at the Golden Globes.
Seventeen of our 19 Experts are predicting a victory for Portman: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Nicole Sperling (Ent. Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).
Of the remaining two experts, Jack Mathews (“Gold Derby”) is predicting a win for Amy Adams (“Arrival”), which translates to odds of 12/1. And Thelma Adams (Gold Derby) is forecasting an upset victory for French star Isabelle Huppert (“Elle”), also giving her 12/1 odds to win. Adams is a back-to-back Globe champ for comedies “American Hustle” (2013) and “Big Eyes” (2014), while this is Huppert’s first bid.
Rounding out our experts’ rankings for Best Film Drama Actress are Ruth Negga (“Loving”) in fourth place with 66/1 odds and Jessica Chastain (“Miss Sloane”) in fifth place with 80/1 odds. This would be Negga’s first victory, but Chastain is already a Globe champion for “Zero Dark Thirty” (2012).
According to our overall combined odds featuring the predictions of all Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users (those who did the best at their winner picks last year), and All Users, the rankings are the same. The favored pick of over 1,600 people is Portman with 1/5 odds over Adams with 11/1 odds. Huppert follows with 16/1 odds, and then Negga at 66/1 and Chastain at 80/1.
Winning the Best Film Drama Actress award from the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. is of great significance when it comes to forecasting the upcoming Oscars. During the 21st century 15 of the 16 winners have gone on to at least be nominated at the Academy Awards for Best Actress. The single Globe champ who didn’t follow up with a corresponding Oscar nom is Kate Winslet (“Revolutionary Road” in 2008), however she did end up winning the Oscar that year for a different film, “The Reader.”
Make your Golden Globes Awards picks now and tell industry insiders which films and performers you have out front to win on January 8. You can keep changing them until just before show time. Be sure to make your predictions right here. You’ll compete for a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s nominees). Read our contest rules.