With leading 1/10 odds from our 16 film Experts, Viola Davis (“Fences”) is predicted to win Best Supporting Actress at Sunday’s 2017 Golden Globes. She plays Rose, the wife of a waste collector (Denzel Washington) struggling to raise his family in 1950s America in this adaptation of August Wilson‘s Pulitzer Prize-winning play. Davis has been nominated four prior times for her film and TV work, but this would be her first Globes victory. “Fences” has one other nomination at this Sunday’s ceremony, Best Drama Actor for Washington.
All 16 of our Experts are predicting a victory for Davis: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).
In second place is Michelle Williams (“Manchester by the Sea”) with 33/1 odds, who portrays Randi Chandler, the ex-wife of a man forced to take care of his teenage nephew after the boy’s father dies. Williams was the early frontrunner in the awards derby for Best Supporting Actress until Davis made the decision to campaign in the supporting category, as opposed to lead where she won the Tony for this same role.
Breakout star Naomie Harris (“Moonlight”) comes in third place with 50/1 odds for her role as Paula, the drug-addicted mother of a young man struggling to find his place in the world while growing up in a rough Miami neighborhood.
Rounding out our experts’ rankings for Best Film Supporting Actress are Nicole Kidman (“Lion”) in fourth place with 66/1 odds and Octavia Spencer (“Hidden Figures”) in fifth place with 80/1 odds. Kidman is a three-time Globe champ for “To Die For” (1995), “Moulin Rouge!” (2001) and “The Hours” (2002), while Spencer won her trophy for “The Help” (2011).
According to our overall combined odds featuring the predictions of all Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users (those who did the best at their winner picks last year), and All Users, the rankings are the same. The favored pick of over 1,600 people is Davis with 2/13 odds over Williams with 16/1 odds. Harris follows with 40/1 odds, and then Kidman at 66/1 and Spencer at 80/1.
Winning this award from the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. is of great significance when it comes to forecasting the upcoming Oscars. During the 21st century every winner has gone on to at least be nominated at the Academy Awards for Best Supporting Actress. And 10 out of 16 won at the Oscars after claiming the Globe: Jennifer Connelly (“A Beautiful Mind” in 2001), Renee Zellweger (“Cold Mountain” in 2003), Rachel Weisz (“The Constant Gardener” in 2005), Jennifer Hudson (“Dreamgirls” in 2006), Kate Winslet (“The Reader”; won lead Oscar in 2008), Mo’Nique (“Precious” in 2009), Melissa Leo (“The Fighter” in 2010), Octavia Spencer (“The Help” in 2011), Anne Hathaway (“Les Miserables” in 2012), Patricia Arquette (“Boyhood” in 2014).
Make your Golden Globes Awards picks now and tell industry insiders which films and performers you have out front to win on January 8. You can keep changing them until just before show time. Be sure to make your predictions right here. You’ll compete for a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s nominees). Read our contest rules.