When it comes to predicting the TV acting awards at the Golden Globes, you could do worse than simply picking a performer from a Best Drama or Comedy Series frontrunner. The Hollywood Foreign Press has a long history of rewarding actors and actress who happen to star in their favorite shows of the year, and 2017 should prove no different.
For four consecutive years the winner for Best Comedy/Musical Series has also taken a lead acting award: “Mozart in the Jungle” and Gael Garcia Bernal (2016), “Transparent” and Jeffrey Tambor (2015), “Brooklyn Nine-Nine” and Andy Sandberg (2014), and “Girls” and Lena Dunham (2013). The same has been true on the drama side, with series winners “Mr. Robot” (2016) pairing up Supporting Actor (Christian Slater), “The Affair” (2015) winning for Best Actress (Ruth Wilson), “Breaking Bad” (2014) taking Best Actor (Bryan Cranston), and back-to-back victor “Homeland” (2012 and 2013) snagging two wins for Best Actress (Claire Danes) and one for Best Actor (Damien Lewis).
This year presents several opportunities for the Globes to continue this trend with both previous winners and first-time contenders. In the comedy categories, “Mozart in the Jungle” must defend its title against “Atlanta,” “Black-ish,” “Transparent,” and “Veep.” In Comedy Actor, returning champs Bernal and Tambor face off against newcomers Anthony Anderson in “Black-ish” and Donald Glover in “Atlanta.” Even if Anderson loses, his show could still prevail for Comedy Actress Tracee Ellis Ross. She’ll face stiff competition from Julia Louis-Dreyfus, who has yet to snag a Globe for “Veep” despite five Emmy victories (she did win a TV Supporting Actress award for “Seinfeld” in 1994).
On the drama side, last year’s series winner “Mr. Robot” was omitted for “The Crown,” “Game of Thrones,” “Stranger Things,” “This Is Us,” and “Westworld.” And while none of those shows compete for Drama Actor, there are plenty of other contenders throughout the other acting categories. Drama Actress could be Claire Foy (“The Crown”), Winona Ryder (“Stranger Things”), or Evan Rachel Wood (“Westworld”). TV Supporting Actor could go for John Lithgow (“The Crown”), and in TV Supporting Actress, voters could choose from “Game of Thrones’s” Lena Headey, “Westworld’s” Thandie Newton, or “This Is Us’s” Mandy Moore or Chrissy Metz.
So, who do you predict? History shows us that the Globes tend to favor new shows, so picking either Glover and “Atlanta” or “Black-ish” and Anderson or Ross would be a safe bet. Yet they could also be ready to finally hop aboard the “Veep” train, carrying Louis-Dreyfus along with it. Or they could simply repeat with “Mozart” and Bernal or “Transparent” and Tambor.
Picking something fresh is easier in Drama Series since four out of the five nominees are first season shows. Both “The Crown” and “Westworld” could potentially take two acting wins apiece, or Foy and Wood could fall victim to a “Stranger Things”/Ryder victory. On the other hand, we could be underestimating the appeal of “This Is Us,” which could pick up a win for either of its supporting actresses, or fan and TV Academy favorite “Game of Thrones,” which has yet to win a series Globe. Could a victory for Headey here make up for her three Emmy losses?
Make your Golden Globes Awards picks now and tell industry insiders which TV shows and performers you have out front to win on January 8. You can keep changing them until just before show time. Be sure to make your predictions right here. You’ll compete for a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s nominees). Read our contest rules.