Breaking records at the Emmys is usually difficult, but Julia Louis-Dreyfus is making it look easy. She has won Best Comedy Actress five years in a row, and she’s on track to win for a record-breaking sixth time. As of this writing she commands the field with leading odds of 2/9, which translates to an overwhelming 81% chance of winning.
These official racetrack odds are based on the latest predictions of Expert TV journalists, Gold Derby’s own Editors, the Top 24 Users who got the high scores in last year’s Emmy predictions, the All-Star Top 24 who scored high in the last two years’ combined Emmy predix, and thousands of total Users who are our largest and often smartest predictions bloc.
Louis-Dreyfus’s fifth victory last year tied Candice Bergen‘s “Murphy Brown” record for the most victories in the category for a single role, and she set a new record for the most wins in the category overall, having also won the award a sixth time in 2006 for “The New Adventures of Old Christine.” She additionally won Best Comedy Supporting Actres for “Seinfeld” in 1996, bringing her to a career total of seven acting prizes. An eighth this year will tie Cloris Leachman‘s all-time Primetime Emmy record — though Leachman has one extra performance award at the Daytime Emmys, so she’ll retain her overall Emmy record for at least one more year.
Is there any chance at all for an upset in this race? Certainly, but it’s a fairly slim one. Louis-Dreyfus’s closest competitor is Tracee Ellis Ross (“Black-ish”), who did win the Golden Globe earlier this year, but that’s an entirely different set of voters who have demonstrated they’re much less fond of “Veep” than the Emmys are. Ross currently gets 11/1 odds, or a 8.6% chance of surprising. And next in line after her is Emmy darling Lily Tomlin (“Grace and Frankie”) who has won six Emmys over the years but only gets 28/1 odds, or a 3.6% chance, this time around.
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